未来机器兵作战能力及发展趋势研究

【作者】 胡新平；

【导师】 张越；

【作者基本信息】 南京理工大学 ， 火炮、自动武器与弹药工程， 2009， 硕士

【摘要】 本文研究的机器人士兵是一种具有作战功能的机械电子系统,它携带小型武器弹药,以轮履方式移动。文中以未来机器人士兵(简称机器兵)为对象,对机器兵作战能力发展趋势进行了分析研究。在概括总结目前国内外机器兵技术现状的基础上,提出了机器兵作战能力的内涵,包括情报侦察、信息对抗、火力打击、战场机动、战斗保障等能力。依据联合作战任务,结合对未来作战环境的预测分析,建立了机器兵作战能力的概念模型。结合轻武器能源技术、材料技术及毁杀伤机理,重点对机器兵火力打击装备的发射能源和工作机理作了定性分析。预测了火力打击装备在当前(10年内)、近期(10～20年内)、未来(20～30年内)三个不同阶段的发展趋势。采用基于模糊层次分析的评估方法,建立了对机器兵火力打击装备作战能力进行体系评估分析的数学模型。通过对评估模型的解算,筛选出了各阶段火力打击装备的最佳方案。应用技术创新扩散理论,研究了作战能力的相关参数,以及各变量之间的非线性关系,建立了作战能力的增长潜力分析模型。将该模型转换为标准的Lotka-Volterra模型并在MATLAB中进行编程求解,重点研究了当前阶段各作战能力的参数特性曲线和数据样本。经过MATLAB数值分析,定量研究了创新扩散率系数和创新影响率系数对作战能力影响的灵敏度。同时对模型的稳定性作了初步判别,求取了模型的正平衡点,并分析了作战能力的增长趋势。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper, robot soldiers is a kind of mechatronics system with operational function. It carries small arms weapon ammunition, and runs with wheels and crawler. Base on the prospective robot soldiers in the future (for short: robot-soldiers), the development trend of the operational capability of it is researched.After generalizing present domestic and foreign robot-soldiers technology, it presumes that robot-soldiers has the capabilities of intelligence and reconnaissance, information confrontation, fire assault, battlefield mobility, combat support. According to the combined operational mission and the predicted operational environment analysis, the model of robot-soldiers operational capability is created.Combine energy technology of small arms, material technology with damage mechanism, the energy of fire assault equipment and working principle are judged by qualitative analysis. The development trend of fire assault equipment in three different stages is suggested. Then, base on the evaluation method of Fuzzy-AHP, model system which evaluates operational capability is created. By solving the model and a optimum project of the fire assault equipment can be chosen.Applying to innovative diffusion theory, correlation parameters of operational capability and non-linear relation of each parameters are researched. After that, increase potential analysis model of the operational capability is created. The model was transformed to normal Lotka-Volterra model and calculating in the software MATLAB, parameters specificity curve of operational capability and date sample for the nonce(in the 10 years)are acquired. By the numerical calculation in MATLAB, the innovative diffusion coefficient and innovative influence coefficient are quantitative analyzed. By the stability research of the model, equilibrium point of model are solved. Meanwhile, the growth tendency of operational capability is researched.更多还原