【作者】 孙瑜；

【导师】 郭欣根；

【作者基本信息】 陕西师范大学 ， 政治学理论， 2007， 硕士

【摘要】 中国与印度同为世界著名的文明古国，也是亚洲最大的两个发展中国家。它们都曾为亚洲及世界创造出了璀璨的文化，作为邻邦，在长达三千年的历史长河中，两国之间一直保持着友好的往来。其间也有不少曲折。新世纪，中国与印度之间的关系被世界称为“龙与象”之间的发展与合作。两国都在快速的实现自身的经济增长，中国以供应全球的制造业与对外出口取胜，而印度则以信息产业与高科技服务著称于世。经济快速发展的中国和印度两国，正在成为推动亚洲经济增长的主要因素，并且使世界经济活动中心逐渐从西方向东方转移。亚洲这两大巨人的快速崛起，引起了超级大国美国的关注，直接导致了美国对中国和印度政策的改变。正如，美国布鲁金斯学会总裁、前副国务卿塔尔博特认为，“美国、中国和印度三角关系非常重要，有可能在未来几十年内决定世界的格局。”美国和印度关系的微妙变化，给中国提供了一个明确信息——美国正在亚洲改变其外交战略，重点就是南亚地区，以便遏制中国的快速崛起。因此，本文将围绕新世纪中国和印度两国关系的改善，以及美国因素在其中的影响运用博弈论作一分析。本文结构如下：一、新世纪中国和印度两国关系的改善。重点分析中国和印度关系改善的表现及其原因。由此证明，新世纪两国关系的改善是两国政府对现实的理性选择。二、中国与印度两国关系发展的历史回顾。从1950年至今中国和印度关系的发展变化，经历了五个阶段。由于历史因素，中国和印度两国人民之间存在很多误会，尤其是历史上两国边界的问题成为两国关系发展的最大障碍。证明新世纪中国和印度两国关系的改善是总结历史经验的必然结果。三、指出新世纪中国与印度关系改善中所存在的美国因素。运用博弈论，分别阐明新世纪中国和美国关系、美国和印度的关系、美国在“9·11”事件之后的新南亚战略、以及美国因素在中国和印度关系改善中的地位和影响。结语部分：对中国和印度两国关系在新世纪的发展趋势和走向做一分析预测。2004年，在北京举行的纪念“和平共处五项原则”创立50周年大会上，中国国务院总理温家宝发表了题为“弘扬五项原则，促进和平发展”的重要讲话，其中提出了在新的历史条件下进一步弘扬和平共处五项原则的主张，并郑重宣示中国将坚定不移地继续奉行和平共处五项原则。可见，在中国和印度快速崛起这个不争的事实面前，中国和印度两国都需要有一个和平的国际环境。所以，中国和印度关系在新世纪的发展与合作将遵从“和平共处”这个目标而共同努力。本文的研究特点，是以新世纪中国和印度两国关系的改善为起点，以历史唯物主义分析的方法，证明新世纪中国和印度两国关系的改善是两国政府对现实的理性选择，也是两国关系历史发展的必然结果。同时，中国和印度两国关系的改善也离不开美国因素的影响，而且，今后南亚地区将上演中国、印度和美国三国的博弈。更多还原

【Abstract】 China and India are two of the famous ancient countries in the word, and as well as the two biggest developing countries. Both of them created brightculture for the Asian and the world. Being neighboring countries, they kept a friendlyrelationship for more than three thousands years, even if there were some frustrations.In the new century, this kind of relationship is called as "the development andcooperation between the dragon and the elephant." China takes its advantage ofsupplying manufacturing industry and external trade for developing its economicdevelopment, while India uses its information industry and high-tech services. Withfast economic growth, China and India are becoming the main components ofadvancing the whole economy of the Asia, and take their place of shifting theeconomical activities center from the West to the East.Meanwhile, the fast growth of these two countries attracted the attention of theAmerica, one of the super countries in the world, and resulted in the changes of theAmerica’s policy towards China and India. Strobe Talbot, the president of theBrookings Institution as well as the deputy secretary of State, believed that "thetriangle relationship between America, China and India is really important, and it maydetermine the situation of the world in the future ten years." The subtle changebetween the America and India has given obvious information that the America hasbeen changing its diplomatic policy with the Asian countries. In order to contain thefast growth of China, its focus would be the South Asia. So this paper aims atexploring the effect of America’s in the relationship of China and India and discussingthe promotion of this relationship.The structure of the paper is described as following:1、The promotion of the relationship between China and India in the new century, especially on the reasons and manifestation of this promotion, which draws theconclusion that the promotion in the new century would be the reasonable choice in theface of reality.2、A retrospective review of the development of these two countries. The analysisconcludes 5 stages, which took a start from 1950 till ngw, and because of the historical factors, there were some misunderstanding between the people of these two countries,especially the border clashes has been regarded the critical problem hinder thedevelopment of their relation. From this, it draws the conclusion that the promotion ofthe relationship is the result of the summary of historical experience.3、To point out the effect of America in promoting the relation. The relationshipbetween China and America, as well as the America and India, and the relationshipbetween Asian policy after "9·11" of the America, together with the role and effect ofthe America on the relationship between China and India would be further explored byusing of the theory of games. Conclusion part: A prediction and analysis of thedevelopment tendency would be made on the relationship between china and India inthe new century. In the year of 2004, Chinese premier Wen Jiabao delivered a speechduring the 50th anniversary ceremony in Beijing, which is called "To carry forward theFive Principles for world peace and development." In his speech, he stressed thatChina will steadfastly commit itself to the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence. Sofriendly and cooperative ties with our neighboring countries have been brought to anew high, our relations with big countries and developed countries have been furtherintensified and our solidarity and cooperation with all other developing countries havebeen continuously expanded. So this speech further proved that both China and Indianeed a peaceful international atmosphere in the face of the fast growth of these twocountries. So their development and cooperation in the new century should be madegreat effort toward the aim of the Peaceful Coexistence.The paper taking a start of the promotion of the relationship between China andIndia, and historical materialism as its method, aims at proving the conclusion that thepromotion of the relationships between the two countries is a reasonable choice in thereality, and also the inevitable result of the development of these two countries.Meanwhile, without the factors of America’s intervene, the promotion would beimpossible. The theory of games would be played by China, India and America onthe ground of south Asia in the future.更多还原