中国入世后的中美经贸关系研究

【作者】 郑懿；

【导师】 潘国陵；

【作者基本信息】 上海海运学院 ， 国际贸易学， 2001， 硕士

【摘要】 2001年11月11日，中国正式加入世界贸易组织(WTO)，掀开了中国融入全球经济一体化的新篇章。经贸关系一直是中美双边关系的主体，它如何演变发展对中美双边关系有着重大影响。长期以来，由于两国在政治制度、意识形态、市场机制、战略利益等多方面存在极大分歧，常常成为干扰中美经贸关系顺利发展的障碍。中国入世后中美经贸关系会如何发展?是中美双方都十分关注的问题。在这个时候，研究中美贸易关系更具有现实意义。本论文正是基于这样的考虑。 本论文针对中美经贸关系中的主要争端展开论述，其中包括：1、中美贸易收支不平衡问题 2、农产品贸易问题 3、纺织品贸易问题 4、服务贸易问题 5、知识产权问题。并从中美两国各自的角度，阐述了双方在这五个方面的利弊得失，提出了解决争端的策略和途径。文章最后就中美经贸关系发展的前景做了定性和定量的预测，进一步证实了中国入世后中美经贸关系的发展趋势。 本论文在研究中美争端时，先从现状着手，通过不同的方法来揭示两国的优势、劣势找出两国之间的差异，指出问题的根源所在，然后针对这些问题，提出中美两国各自的解决方案。对于中美农产品贸易，从两国主要农产品价格、生产成本着手；纺织工业，主要从棉纺织行业中棉纺织机的无梭织机比例比较、化纤行业产品平均生产规模比较展开讨论；服务贸易，则采用经济开放度指标来说明变化趋势，其中分析电信业的现状，引入了比较优势系数(RCA)。解决争端方案部分，本文站在中方、美方的角度提出了各自的见解。此外，前景展望部分本文还结合运用灰色系统预测模型GM(1，1)对入世后中美贸易额、农产品贸易额、纺织品服装贸易额进行预测。预测得到的结果与定性分析的结论一致。 分析展望中国加入WTO之后的中美经贸关系，无论对中美两国政府的决策者，还是对中国的其它主要贸易伙伴，都具有现实意义。本论文旨在通过分析中国入世后中美经贸之间的主要争端，给出解决争端的策略和途径，以促进中美关系稳定健康发展，使彼此的优势和潜力得到充分的发挥。 本论文结构如下：第一章绪论；第二章总述中美经贸关系的现状及争端；第三章透视中美经贸争端；第四章解决中美贸易争端的策略与途径；第五章前景展望；第六章结论和政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 November 11.2001, China formally entered the World Trade Organization (WTO), which opens a new page of China’s merging into the global economy. Economic and trade relationship has always been the main body of Sino-US bilateral relationship. For long time, there are many disputes between China and US in many areas, such as politic system, ideology, market mechanism, strategic benefits etc, which have been the obstacles of the smooth development of Sino-US economic and trade relationship. What the Sino-US trade relationship will be after China’s entry into WTO becomes the main concern problem for both China and the US. So it will be of more practical significance to research Sino-US trade relationship at this moment. For this consideration, the thesis will make discussion and research on Sino-US economic and trade relationship after China’s entry into the WTO.This thesis will make discussion on the main disputes in Sino-US economic and trade relationship which include: Unbalance of trade payment between China and US 2.agricultural products trade S.textitle trade 4.service trade 5.intellectual property. Meanwhile, this thesis will state the advantages and disadvantages of each side in these five aspects, and will give the tactics and approaches to settle the disputes. At the end, the thesis will make the quality and quantity forecasting on the perspective of Sino-US economic and trade relation development which further verify the development trend of Sino-US economic trade relationship after China’s entry into the WTO.In researching the main disputes, this thesis will first research the present situation of Sino-US trade relationship, finding out the gap of two countries, pointing out the roots of disputes, then put forward respective settlement plan against these disputes. This thesis will attempt to expose the advantages and disadvantages of each country by different means. For example, in analyzing Sino-US agricultural products trade, author will set about to the main agricultural products’ price and produce cost; In textile, it will set about to discuss the apply rate comparison of no bobbin weaving machine to cotton spinning machine in cotton spinning industry; In service trade, it will illustratethe variation trend using the Economic Opening level figure and Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), which will involve in telecommunication industry. In settlement plan, the thesis will use the forecasting method of GM(1,1) to forecast the Sino-US trade value, farm products trade value, textile and garment trade value.As China being the member of WTO, it will be of practical significance analyzing and prospecting the Sino-US economic and trade relationship after China’s entry into WTO not only to the decision makers of two governments, but also to other trade partners of China.The structure of this thesis will be as follows: Chapter!Introduction; Chapter2.General explain the present situation and disputes of Sino-US economic and trade relationship; Chapters.Perspective the main disputes of Sino-US trade; Chapter4.Tactics and approaches solving the disputes; Chapters. Prospect forecasting; Chapter 6.Conclusion and policy advice.更多还原