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我国高新区对城市发展扩散效应的理论和实证分析

The Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of China’s High-tech Industrial Development Zone’s Spreading Effects

【作者】 刘洋

【导师】 吴江;

【作者基本信息】 暨南大学 , 国民经济学, 2012, 硕士

【摘要】 本文从区域经济层面出发,对高新区对城市发展的扩散效应进行了理论和实证的分析。首先,文章结合增长极等相关理论分析了高新区作为增长极对城市发展所起到的扩散效应。文章从发展历程和区位因素的时空两条维度明确了高新区在城市发展过程中的增长极地位,即高新区对城市发展扩散效应的基础,并从传统层面和创新层面加以区分。文章在进一步分析高新区扩散效应的具体表现上,指出高新区对城市发展其扩散效应主要通过规模发展、创新示范、人文改革的三方面功能实现,并进而分析了高新区在扩散效应上存在的规模开发方向偏离、创新培育能力弱化和综合改革淡化的问题。其次,在实证部分文章引入生态学中的适应度景观理论及NK模型分析方法,将高新区扩散效应的途径总结为规模、技术、人才三种推动基因,并采用52个发展最为成熟的国家级高新区及所在城市相关数据,模拟区域经济生态系统,分析了高新区规模、技术、人才这三方面推动基因的适应度,得出了各地高新区扩散过程中在三方面存在的明显差异,结合模型局部最优到全局最优的理念分析不同类型高新区了下一步优先改进的方面。文章最后根据所分析出来的状态和路径针对不同类型高新区提出了进一步优先改进的具体政策建议。

【Abstract】 This paper focuses on the relations between high-tech industrialdevelopment zone and urban development and uses growth pole theory andother theories of regional economy to analyze now hi-tech industrialdevelopment zone becomes the growth pole of urban development and itsspreading effects on urban development as growth pole from the perspective ofregional economy. By analyzing the spreading effect of the functions andapproaches of high-tech industrial zone on urban development, fitnesslandscapes theory in ecology and the analytic procedures of NK model arecreatively introduced for function deviation problem in the spreading processof the high-tech development zone. Under the simulation of regional economicecosystem, the data of52well-developed national high-tech industrialdevelopment zones are used to analyze the fitness of the scale, technology andtalents of high-tech industrial development zone. The difference in thespreading process of the high-tech industrial zone has been acknowledged andthe BP model simulation test of artificial neural network has been passed. Inthe end of the paper, further policy direction suggestions have been given,according to the different situations of high-tech industrial zones. Thesesuggestions aim at promoting the effect of the spreading effect of high-techindustrial zones on urban development.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 暨南大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2012年 10期
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