【作者】 张安睿；

【导师】 王明年；

【作者基本信息】 西南交通大学 ， 桥梁与隧道工程， 2011， 硕士

【摘要】 随着国家高速公路路网规划的实施,我国在高速公路隧道建设中取得了巨大的成就,目前我国已经成为全世界隧道最多、最复杂、发展最快的国家。其中在陕西、浙江、云南、贵州、福建、重庆等隧道大省市出现了大量的特长隧道及隧道群。同时我国还是世界上道路交通事故最严重的国家之一,目前全国道路交通安全状况比较差。隧道群更是成为了高速公路事故的控制区和多发区,隧道群发生事故的严重性、事故频率及事故后果都远高于高速公路其他路段。因此,高速公路隧道群应急工作便成为一个极其重要而又急需解决的问题。本文针对高速公路隧道群应急预案的制定和评估进行了全面的研究。本文通过对现行各行业应急预案的调研总结,结合高速公路隧道群自身特点,在高速公路隧道群联动控制的基础上构建隧道群应急管理机构。根据高速公路隧道火灾、交通事故、交通堵塞情况下不同的交通特点分别进行隧道火灾、交通事故、交通堵塞时的隧道群机电应急控制技术研究,解决隧道群应急预案制定的关键技术。本文针对高速公路隧道群应急预案进行基于预案的人员疏散能力检验和预案综合评估,来检验应急预案的有效性。通过人员疏散模拟计算,检验基于预案的隧道群疏散效果,同时对隧道群应急预案失效时人员疏散进行优化研究；按照评估的一般程序和原理,综合考虑影响隧道群应急预案的影响因素,构建应急预案评估指标体系,并利用层次分析法确定各项评估指标的权重。根据不同评估方法的特点,选取模糊综合评估法,基本其基本理论建立应急预案的三级模糊综合评估模型。以重庆渝湘高速彭武路应急预案为例进行综合评估,并根据评估结果提出有针对性的改善措施。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the commencement of the National Highway Networking Project, highway tunnel construction is gaining fruitful breakthroughs. China now ranks the first in terms of the number, the difficulty and developing speed. Tunnel groups are appearing in provinces such as Shanxi, Zhejiang, Yunnan, Guizhou, Chongqing etc. Meanwhile, the status quo of traffic safety condition is quite unsatisfying with high occurrence rate of traffic accidents, especially among the tunnel group where the severity and occurrence rate are higher. So the importance of emergency plans is clear. The article gives a deep and full exploration into the making and estimating of emergency plans for highway tunnel groups.With a full analysis and summarization of existing emergency plans of different industries as well as the uniqueness of highway tunnel groups, the article offers a emergency managing model basing on highway tunnel group linkage control. According to the variety of traffic conditions, the model researches into the emergency control technology fro tunnel group electromechanical system and other key techniques in managing various traffic conditions, including tunnel fire, traffic accident and traffic congestion.The article verifies the validity of the emergency plans by analyzing the effectiveness in personnel dispersion as well as the comprehensive estimation. By the calculation of personnel dispersion capability, dispersion effectiveness can be estimated. Estimating system of emergency plans can be built and the weight of different indicators can also be generated according to the general procedures and theories of estimating work taking into consideration of various effecting factors. Respective theories are chosen according to the characteristics of various estimation methods, thus creating a three-tier fuzzy comprehensive model of emergency plans. The model is applied in the estimation of the emergency plans of the Pengwu Section of Yu-Xiang(Chongqing-Hunan) Highway and proposes some optimizing measures.更多还原