【作者】 段丽丽；

【导师】 布娲鹣·阿布拉；

【作者基本信息】 新疆农业大学 ， 产业经济学， 2010， 硕士

【摘要】 随着世界经济全球化和区域经济一体化进程的加快,各国经济相互开放和融合的程度大大提高。双边或区域合作因其交易成本低,目前已成为世界上多数国家的一项重要的政策选择。中国和巴基斯坦的经贸往来历史悠久,中国-巴基斯坦自由贸易区的建立更是为两国的经贸合作发展提供了制度性的保障。所以,对自由贸易区建立后中国与巴基斯坦经贸关系的发展进行研究具有十分重要的意义。本文在全面系统分析中国和巴基斯坦经贸合作的现状、出口市场结构、出口商品结构以及建立自由贸易区后双方经贸关系的基础上,分析两国贸易的互补性和互竞性;并对中国-巴基斯坦自由贸易区的贸易效应和投资效应进行实证分析。进而对中巴经贸关系进行展望,找到经贸发展中存在的问题,并提出相应的对策建议。研究结果表明:第一,中国和巴基斯坦在贸易、承包劳务和投资等方面存在着广泛的经贸合作基础;第二,中国和巴基斯坦的经贸合作的互补性较强;第三,从贸易方面来看,自贸区的建立对双边贸易的促进作用不是很明显,但是随着时间的推移,对贸易的促进作用将逐步显现。在投资方面,中国-巴基斯坦自由贸易区所产生的投资创造和投资转移效应都会引起区内、外投资的增加,但因两国吸引外资的能力不同,加上社会不稳定等外界因素的存在,使得投资在两国间的分布是不均衡的;最后,借鉴东盟自由贸易区的经验,将有利于中国和巴基斯坦经贸合作问题的解决。更多还原

【Abstract】 As the world economic globalization and regional economic integration process has accelerated, mutual opening of national economies and the degree of integration increased substantially. Because of their low transaction cost, bilateral or regional cooperation has become an important policy option for most countries in the world at present.China and Pakistan have a long history of economic and trade relations, and the establishment of China-Pakistan free trade area provides a system protection for the development of economic and trade cooperation between China and Pakistan. So it is of great significance to study the development of the economic and trade relations between China and Pakistan after the establishment of China-Pakistan free trade area. In this paper, based on a comprehensive systematic analysis of the status quo of economic and trade cooperation, the export market structure, export structure and the economic and trade relations after the establishment of free trade area between China and Pakistan, complementary and competition natures are analyzed. And it made an empirical analysis of the trade and investment effects of China-Pakistan free trade area, to identify the prospects for the development between them, finding out the problems existing in the development of economy, and then to put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.The results show that: First, there has been broad cooperation foundation in trade, contracted labor and investment between China and Pakistan. Second, economic and trade cooperation is of high complementary between China and Pakistan.Third, from a trade perspective, the establishment of a free trade area to promote the bilateral trade is not very obvious. But as time goes on, promotion in trade gradually show. In terms of investment, after the establishment of the free trade area, investment creation and diversion would give rise to local and foreign investment increased, but because of the two different capacities to attract foreign investment, coupled with external factors such as social instability, the distribution of investment between the two countries is not balanced. Finally, drawing on the experience of ASEAN free trade area will be conductive to resolve the problems in economic and trade cooperation between China and Pakistan.更多还原