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基于熵权TOPSIS法的铝土矿海外投资优选
Preferable investment evaluation of overseas bauxite based on entropy-weight TOPSIS model
【摘要】 中国是世界上最大的铝土矿消费国,消费量占全球的比例长期高于40%,以2016年为例,中国铝土矿消费量占比高达58%,预计未来十年铝土矿消费量仍将继续增长。但我国铝土矿资源先天不足,随着开采程度加深,品质下降严重。因此,如何稳定地获取铝土矿成为急需解决的问题。境外投资是获取资源的重要方式,而要保障投资的成功率,对主要资源国的投资环境进行评价显得至关重要。本文基于熵权TOPSIS法,从经济、政治和法律、资源环境及基础设施四个方面选取了包括政府问责指数、铁路密度、综合税率和铝土矿储量在内的十五个指标组成评价体系,对中国铝土矿境外投资环境进行综合评价。结果表明:我国铝土矿境外投资的优先顺序依次为几内亚、牙买加、澳大利亚、印度、马来西亚、越南、巴西、印度尼西亚、俄罗斯。
【Abstract】 China is the world’s largest consumer of bauxite.The proportion of consumption in the world has been more than 40%for a long time.Taking 2016 as an example,China’s bauxite consumption accounts for58%,and it is expected that bauxite consumption will continue to grow in the next decade.However,China’s bauxite resources are inherently insufficient,and as the degree of exploitation deepens,the quality declines seriously.Therefore,how to obtain bauxite stably becomes an urgent problem to be solved.Overseas investment is an important way to gain resources.To ensure the success rate of bauxite investment,it is essential to evaluate the investment environment of different countries.Based on the entropy-weight TOPSIS model,this paper selects the evaluation of fifteen indicators including government accountability index,railway density,comprehensive tax rate and bauxite reserves from four aspects:economic,political and legal,resource environment and infrastructure.The system provides a comprehensive evaluation of the overseas investment environment of China’s bauxite.It is concluded that the priority of overseas investment in bauxitein China is Guinea,Jamaica,Australia,India,Malaysia,Vietnam,Brazil,Indonesia and Russia respectively.
【Key words】 bauxite; investment environment; entropy weight; TOPSIS model;
- 【文献出处】 中国矿业 ,China Mining Magazine , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年08期
- 【分类号】F426.1;F752
- 【被引频次】6
- 【下载频次】209