【摘要】 锑矿是中国的优势矿产之一,主要用于阻燃剂、铅酸蓄电池等领域且目前在阻燃剂领域具有不可替代性。近年来中国锑资源需求日益增长,但也面临着矿山开采过度、走私泛滥、资源消耗过快等问题。本文选用Hubbert生产峰值预测模型对锑矿产量峰值及其到达时间进行判断。预测结果表明,在最终可采资源量分别为689万t、842.5万t和996万t三种情景下,产量峰值分别为13.78万t、15.65万t和17.6万t,峰值到达时间分别为2014年、2019年和2023年。通过分析我国锑资源消耗过快的影响因素,提出延缓锑资源耗竭速度的对策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Antimony ore is one of the dominant minerals in China.It is mainly used in flame retardants,leadacid batteries and other fields.At present,it is irreplaceable in the field of flame retardants.In recent years,the demand for antimony resources in China has been increasing day by day,but it is also facing problems such as excessive mining,rampant smuggling and excessive consumption of resources.In this paper,Hubbert production peak prediction model is used to judge the peak value of antimony production and its arrival time.The forecast results show that under the three scenarios of 6.89 million tons,8.425 million tons and 9.96 million tons of ultimate recoverable resources,the peak output is 137.8 million tons,156.5 million tons and176,000 tons respectively,and the peak arrival time is 2014,2019 and 2023,respectively.By analyzing the influencing factors of the excessive consumption of antimony resources in China,the countermeasures and suggestions for delaying the consumption of antimony resources are put forward.更多还原