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强震概率增长时段判定法在粤东及邻区的应用
THE APPLICATION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKE TIME OF INCREASED PROBABILITY METHOD TO THE EAST PART OF GUANGDONG PROVINCE AND ITS NEIGHBOURING DISTRICTS
【摘要】 将强震概率增长时段判定法(TIP-M8)应用于粤、闽、赣交界及近海地区,资料从1985至1995年底。绝大多数地震流函数异常显示,从1995年底起3年内该区将发生55级左右地震。1997年5月31日发生的福建永安52级地震与此判断相符。
【Abstract】 Applied the Time of Increased Probability Method(TIP_M8) to the juncture area of three province (Guangdong,Jiangxi and Fujian Province) and near sea region.The catalogue is from 1985~1995.The anomaly of most earthquike fluid functions indicated that an earthquake(about M 5 5) would occur in three years from 1995.It was proved by the M S 5 2 earthquake occurred in Yongan,Fujian on May 31th of 1997.
【关键词】 地震预测;
TIP方法;
地震流函数;
【Key words】 Earthquake prediction; Time of Increased Probability Method; Earthquake fluid function;
【Key words】 Earthquake prediction; Time of Increased Probability Method; Earthquake fluid function;
- 【文献出处】 华南地震 ,SOUTH CHINA JOURNAL OF SEISMOLOGY , 编辑部邮箱 ,1998年01期
- 【分类号】P315.7;P315.08
- 【被引频次】1
- 【下载频次】62