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地下流体地震前兆多层次跟踪法在华南及沿海地区的应用
The application of the HTM method of subsurface fluid in the South China and coastal areas
【摘要】 利用多层次跟踪法, 对80 年代以来华南及沿海地区发生的9 次大于 M S50 级和2 次陆区接近 M S50 级地震的发震时间进行了系统验证。在11 个震例中预测时段正确的有: 中期10 个、短期5 个和短临2 个, 表明该方法可应用于华南及其沿海地区未来中强地震发震时间的预报
【Abstract】 The occurred time of the earthquakes have been systematic studied by using the HTM method, and these earthquakes consist of 9 earthquakes with M >5 0 and 2 earthquakes with 4 0< M <5 0 which occurred in the South China and coastal areas since 1980. The result shows that the judgment for 10 of medium-term, 5 of short-term and 2 of impending-term were correct. It is indicated that the HTM method should be applied to predict the origin time of the moderate earthquake which will occur in the South China areas in the future.
【关键词】 地震预报;
地震前兆;
发震时刻;
地下流体;
多层次跟踪法;
【Key words】 Earthquake prediction; Seismic precursor; Origin time; Subsurface fluid; The HTM method;
【Key words】 Earthquake prediction; Seismic precursor; Origin time; Subsurface fluid; The HTM method;
- 【文献出处】 华南地震 ,SOUTH CHINA JOURNAL OF SEISMOLOGY , 编辑部邮箱 ,1999年02期
- 【分类号】P315.72
- 【被引频次】1
- 【下载频次】23