节点文献

地磁加卸载响应比方法在地震预报中的应用

APPLICATION OF GEOMAGNETIC LOADING-UNLOADING RESPONSE RATIO METHOD TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

  • 推荐 CAJ下载
  • PDF下载
  • 不支持迅雷等下载工具,请取消加速工具后下载。

【作者】 张建国闫俊岗王静乔子云

【Author】 Zhang Jianguo1,2),Yan Jungang1),Wang Jing1) and Qiao Ziyun3) 1)Central Seismostation of Handan of Earthquake Administration of Hebei Province,Handan 0560012)College of Geoexploration Science and Technology Jilin University,Changchun 1300263)Earthquake Administration of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021

【机构】 河北省地震局邯郸中心台河北省地震局 邯郸056001吉林大学地球探测科学与技术学院长春130026邯郸056001石家庄050021

【摘要】 应用地磁加卸载响应比方法,研究河北省各地磁台1982—2006年地磁Z分量加卸载响应比的高值异常与河北省及邻近地区Ms≥5.0地震之间的对应关系。结果表明:1)在这25年内,共出现了符合判据标准的异常19次,在其后11个月内对应地震仍有13次,应报15个,虚报3次,漏报2次;2)大多数地震之前的异常极大值的空间分布都相对集中于震中区附近;3)其内检预报效能指标R=0.44,通过检验。

【Abstract】 The relation between high anomalies of %Z % component of geomagnetism at seimological stations in Hebei province and its neighbouring area for earthquake of %M %s≥5.0 from 1982 to 2006 is analyzed with the method of loading-unloading response ratio.The result shows: 1) during the twenty-five years,ninteen anomalies coincided with the standard at Hebei geomagnetic stations had been obtained,thirteen of which respond to the %M %s≥5.0 earthquakes in eleven months after the earthquakes,fifteen earthquakes should be predicted,three predictions were false and two predictions were missed;2) before most of the earthquakes the spatial distribution of maximal value of the anormalies was relatively concentrated in the vicinity of epicentral area;3) the inner-check prediction efficiency indicator %R %= 0.44,passed the examination.

  • 【文献出处】 大地测量与地球动力学 ,Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年02期
  • 【分类号】P315.7
  • 【被引频次】12
  • 【下载频次】141
节点文献中: