节点文献
TSIP中期地震预报方法在辽宁地区的应用与研究
APPLICATION AND STUDY OF TSIP METHOD ON INTERMEDIATE TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IN LIAONING REGION
【摘要】 本文用CN算法研究了辽宁省两个地震重点监视防御区的中强震前的强震发生概率增长时间,结果表明预测效果较好,有震报准率为90%,TIP预测警戒占时空率为30%左右,R值评分为0.6左右。在TIP预测的基础上,进一步用SIP方法分析这两个区域的空间背景发震概率的不均匀分布。综合应用TIP方法和SIP方法,对辽宁省及邻近地区进行了试验性地震预报。
【Abstract】 This paper applies TSIP method intermediate term earthquake prediction to two important regions of Liaoning province to study the time increment probability before strong earthquakes.The result shows a better prediction effectiveness.The proportion of successive earthquake prediciton is 90%.Time of TIP alarm is about 30% of total time.The value R is about 0 6.Based on TIP method,we used SIP method to analysis the space probability.With TIP method and SIP method,we attempt to study the forecasting of Liaoning and adjacent areas.
【关键词】 TIP方法;
CN算法;
SIP方法;
中期地震预报;
【Key words】 TIP method; CN algorithms; SIP method; Intermediate term earthquake prediction;
【Key words】 TIP method; CN algorithms; SIP method; Intermediate term earthquake prediction;
- 【文献出处】 东北地震研究 ,SEISMOLOGICAL RESEARCH OF NORTHEAST CHINA , 编辑部邮箱 ,1998年02期
- 【分类号】P315.7
- 【下载频次】28