【作者】 杨娟；

【导师】 侯运炳；

【作者基本信息】 中国矿业大学（北京） ， 资源开发与规划， 2010， 博士

【摘要】 本文以铁矿石进口风险为研究对象,借鉴前人的研究成果,以生产-消费弹性系数、相关产业相关性和对外依存度等相关基本理论为基础,探讨了中国铁矿石进口的必要性。铁矿石进口风险特征具有广泛性和复杂性,按照评价指标的选取原则,本文从进口源地风险、进口市场风险、运输通道风险、应急储备风险、进口管理风险、资金风险和非产品市场竞争风险等角度建立了铁矿石进口风险评价指标体系。最后运用模糊综合评价对铁矿石进口风险进行了评价,旨在为铁矿石进口决策或风险管理者面对未来变幻莫测的铁矿石进口市场及时快速地提供决策依据,有效地预防钢铁企业经济利益和国家整体利益的损失。更多还原

【Abstract】 To study risk of iron ore imports, reference previous research results, this paper discusses the need for iron ore imports in China, has a comprehensive analysis of risk factors of iron ore imports on the basis of production-consumption elasticity coefficient, related industries correlation coefficient, foreign dependence and other related basic theory, Because the meaning of iron ore imports risk has extensive and complex nature, according to the selection principles of evaluation, this paper constructs the risk evaluation index system for iron ore import, which incudes import sources risk, import market risk, transportation corridor risk, contingency reserves risk, import management risk, financial risk, the risk of non-product market competition, and other indicators. The paper performs synthesize evaluation for the risk of iron ore import by using fuzzy mathematics method. In this study, a risk assessment system is established on the basis of the risk factors evaluation for China’s iron ore imports, in order to imply basis for decision making immediately for iron ore imports risk managers when they face to iron ore import market of unpredictable in the future, and to effectively prevent losses of iron steel enterprise economy and country benefits.更多还原