【作者】 关长海；

【导师】 赵国杰；

【作者基本信息】 天津大学 ， 技术经济及管理， 2007， 博士

【摘要】 发达的现代服务业是经济中心城市的重要标志,它具有资源消耗少、环境污染小、产业带动强、经济效益高、吸纳就业密集等特点,在经济社会中的作用越来越明显。本文以城市现代服务业竞争力研究为选题,分别从理论研究、实证分析和发展预测三个层面,进行了全面系统的探索性研究。文章以服务业理论为原点,阐述了服务业及现代服务业的沿革、定义、分类和特征;随后讨论了全球经济和中国经济的服务业发展规律;第三章为方法论,确定了构建评价体系的基本原则、因素确定、指标筛选及权重确定;第四章从总体概况、现状及问题、重点行业等方面对北京现代服务业进行了探讨;第五章对国际都市及国内直辖市进行比较研究,认为北京现代服务业在国内处于领先,但与国际都市还有差距,并对北京现代服务业的重点行业进行了分析。在此基础上,第六章对北京市现代服务业进行了预测,预计07年底北京市现代服务业比重有望突破75%,并提出对策;最后第七章给出结论和创新点,提出了研究展望。论文特色体现在:第一,选题新颖,结构严谨,数据详实;该课题跳出常见的现代服务业研究体系框架,站在城市现代服务业竞争力崭新角度来研究现代服务业的相关问题,且选取的数据尽量地做到准确、新鲜。第二,研究的理论性与实证性并存;本文在综述现代服务业理论的基础上,选取国际知名大都市如伦敦、纽约、东京、香港和国内直辖市如天津、上海、重庆共七个城市比较研究,采用现代统计计量方法评价现代服务业竞争力。第三,注重预测的现实性和前瞻性;立足首都实际,综合阐述了北京现代服务业的发展历程及现状,从多角度对首都现代服务业的比较优势和障碍因素进行了分析,并在纵向和横向比较的基础上,提出促进首都现代服务业建设的政策建议。在具体研究的技术方法和研究思路上,采用系统分析与实证分析相结合,定性分析与定量分析相结合,现实分析与预测分析相结合,理论研究与现实服务相结合的研究思路与技术路线。本文恰当的选取了能够反映现代服务业竞争力的若干指标,建立了现代城市服务业竞争力评价的指标体系,对现代服务业竞争力进行了客观、科学的评价与评估,进一步丰富了城市现代服务业竞争力的研究内涵。更多还原

【Abstract】 The advanced modern service industry is an important symbol of an economically central city. With characteristics such as low consumption of resources, little pollution to environment, stimulations to related industries, high economic benefits and large employment, etc, the service industry plays an increasingly significant role in the economic society. From the perspective of competitiveness, this research paper comprehensively and systematically explored and discussed the modern urban service industry, along three dimensions including theoretical study, empirical analysis and development forecast.Based on the theories of service industry, the paper first elaborates the history, definitions, classification and features of service industry and modern service industry. Then it discusses the rules for development of service industry in the global economy and the Chinese economy. Chapter Three is methodology, which identifies the basic principles, factors, indicators and their weights to formulate the evaluation framework. Chapter Four explores the modern service industry in Beijing from aspects such as overview, current development, major problems and key industries. Chapter Five compares municipalities in China with global major metropolises, concluding that the modern service industry in Beijing has a leading position in China but still falls behind global metropolises; the key service industries in Beijing are also analyzed.Based on the discussions and analysis in Chapter Five, Chapter Six makes a series of predictions for the modern service industry in Beijing, forecasts that the share of modern service industry in Beijing is likely to exceed 75% in 2007, and proposes many constructive suggestions. In the end, Chapter Seven provides conclusions, innovative points and outlooks based on the study.Features of the paper are mainly reflected in three aspects. Firstly, it has a novel topic, a logic structure and reliable data. The project avoids the conventional framework for analyzing modern urban service industry, and studies relevant issues of modern urban service industry from the angle of competitiveness, with accurate and latest data. Secondly, it integrates the theoretical study and empirical study. On the basis of theories of modern service industry, the paper selects seven cities, including London, New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Tianjin, Shanghai and Chongqing, for contrast and comparison with Beijing; it utilizes the modern statistical methods to evaluate the competitiveness of modern service industry. Thirdly, it tries to make the forecast realistic and forward-looking. Based on the reality of Beijing, the paper summarizes the historical development and current performance of the modern service industry in Beijing, analyzes its comparative advantages and obstructive factors, and proposes the measures to promote its development on the basis of vertical and horizontal comparisons.As for technical processing methods and research strategies, this project integrates systematic and empirical analysis, qualitative and quantitative analysis, realistic and forecast analysis, as well as theoretical and realistic analysis. The paper properly selects several indicators that can reflect the competitiveness of modern service industry, establishes an indicator system for evaluation on modern urban service industry and makes objective and scientific assessment on the modern service industry’s competitiveness. This is an innovation by the paper, which enriches the implication of study on modern urban service industry.更多还原