【作者】 郭彬；

【导师】 张世英；

【作者基本信息】 天津大学 ， 技术经济及管理， 2005， 博士

【摘要】 循环经济的概念是在人类发展面临资源短缺、环境恶化和生态破坏的困境以至于难以维系的背景下伴随着可持续发展的思想和实践提出的。发展循环经济、建立循环社会是我国乃至全球实施可持续发展战略的重要途径和实现方式。循环经济的核心内涵是在经济持续发展的前提下确保资源的循环利用和生态环境的良性转化。当前,我国正处于“落实科学发展观、全面建设小康社会”的现代化建设的攻坚阶段,急需建立符合循环经济理念的政策法律体系和资源环境管理体系,这需要对循环经济的理论和实践的深入研究,尤其是有恰当的定量描述和科学的技术经济分析作为决策过程中的参考和决策之后的效果评估。尽管涉及循环经济的综合性定量研究在我国尚属起步,但是笔者将力图通过本论文的研究撰写,对循环经济领域进行理论梳理和实践探索,重点在循环经济定量分析研究上有所突破和创新。本文结合河北省唐山市软科学项目“唐山市发展循环经济对策研究”,从循环经济基本理论的系统研究入手,借鉴国内外循环经济探索的最新成果,结合我国循环经济发展的实际情况,综合运用技术经济学、应用统计学、博弈论和信息经济学的原理和方法,研究提出循环经济发展的综合评价、经济激励和博弈分析的数量模型,以此充实和提升我国的循环经济理论研究水平,增强我国循环经济决策的科学性和可预见性。本文的主要内容和创新点包括以下几个方面:对现有循环经济的基本理论进行系统地梳理和评述,构建循环经济的基础理论框架;借鉴可持续发展的评价思路和方法,结合我国循环经济发展的特点,建立了循环经济评价指标体系,设计了循环经济模糊综合评价模型,并用于我国直辖市循环经济发展状况评价实证研究;运用激励理论和信息经济学的相关理论构造委托-代理模型,详细分析了政府如何从经济角度引导和激励企业和企业家从其自身利益出发走循环经济之路;运用博弈理论构造多阶段博弈模型,研究了企业间不同合作模式下政府怎样制定R&D补贴策略,促进企业从事循环经济关键技术的研发工作;针对我国发展循环经济存在的问题,提出了相应的实现路径和策略选择;对唐山市发展循环经济情况进行实证研究。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the background of facing the predicament of resources shortage, environment deterioration, ecological crisis and the difficulty of maintaining mankind development, the conception of cycling economy is advocated along with the thought and practice of the sustainable development. Developing cycling economy and establishing cycling society are the essential ways and realization methods of implementing sustainable development strategy in our country and even all over the world.The core connotation of cycling economy is to insure cycling utilization of resource and positive conversion of environmental ecosystem on the premises of keeping economic development. At present, we are on the crucial phase of modernization construction of“carrying out the policy of the scientific development and overall construction for affluent society”, and the policy-law systems and resources environment management systems matching the conception of cycling economy are urgently needed to found. It is necessary to make thorough research on the theory and practice of cycling economy, especially the fitting quantitative analysis and scientific technique economy analysis as the reference during decision-making and the effect evaluation after decision-making. Whereas, now the comprehensive quantitative research on cycling economy is just the beginning in our country, I will try my best to make a breakthrough and an innovation in the quantitative research and theory reorganization and practice exploration of cycling economy. Granted by the soft science project, the Countermeasure Research of Cycling Economy Development in Tangsan City of Hebei, and according to the basic theory of cycling economy and considering the newly results of domestic & foreign cycling economy study, and based on the actual circumstance of cycling economy development in our country, the dissertation focuses on the quantitative research about synthesis evaluation, economic incentive mechanism and game analysis, and sets forth the relative mathematic models by adopting the methodology and theory of techno-economics, applied statistics, game theory, information economics. This study can enrich and promote the theory research level of cycling economy and strengthen the decision-making of the cycling economy scientifically and foreseeingly. The main contents and innovation points are asfollows:(1) The existing fundamental theories of cycling economy are systematically reorganized and commented, as a result, its foundation theory frame is set up. (2) In terms of the evaluation methods of sustainable development and the chief characteristics of cycling economy development in our country, the index systems of the evaluation of cycling economy are established and the mathematic model of fuzzy synthesis evaluation is designed through the combination of fuzzy theory and Analytic Hierarchy Processing. According to the established evaluation method, the empirical study on level of cycling economy of the city controlled directly by the central government is investigated. (3) A set of incentive mechanism models to analyze government guide and excite enterprises and enterprisers to develop cycling economy from themselves interest are designed in detail in the dissertation by means of principal-agent methods of information economics and motivation theory. (4) Utilizing game theory and method, many stages dynamic game models are constructed to investigate how the government designs different R&D subsidy proportion for different cooperative mode between enterprises to promote them to engage in the R&D key technology of cycling economy. (5) The relative realization approach to the existing problems of cycling economy development in china is put forward in dissertation, too. (6)An empirical study of cycling economy development in Tangsan City is conducted.更多还原