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我国产业结构与就业结构演变及关系实证研究

Study on the Evolution and the Relation of Industrial Structure and Employment Structure of China Based on Empirical Analysis

【作者】 孙昱淇

【导师】 景跃军;

【作者基本信息】 吉林大学 , 人口、资源与环境经济学, 2013, 博士

【摘要】 本论文分绪论、正文、结论3个篇章,从逻辑上看,总共分5个部分。第1部分由第1章构成,对国内外关于产业结构和就业结构的研究进行了述评,对主要概念进行了界定,并给出了本研究的逻辑框架和研究方法。第2部分由第2章构成,是本文研究的理论部分,为后续各章的研究和分析奠定了理论基础。该部分主要对关于产业结构经典和关于劳动力就业的理论进行了梳理和述评。第3部分是本论文研究的重点,由第3章-第6章构成。第3章阐述了我国三次产业结构和就业结构的演变规律,从三次产业的产值结构“二一三”模式向“二三一”模式转移,我国就业结构的演变方向与产值结构的演变方向一致,但是,就业结构的演变滞后于产值结构。第4章是关于我国产业结构和就业结构的关联性的实证分析,结果显示,我国第一产业产值结构和就业结构呈现高度相关关系。我国第三产业产值结构和就业结构亦呈现高度的相关关系。我国第二产业产值和就业结构不相关。第5章是关于我国产业结构和就业结构的偏离的实证分析,结果显示,从宏观趋势看,我国就业结构对产业结构的总偏离度经历了直线下降、波动上升、直线上升、直线下降等阶段。其数据从1978年的84.6%下降到2012年的45.6%,数据下降了近50%。说明我国产业结构和就业结构的偏离正在逐步得到纠正。第6章给出了我国产业结构和就业结构演变及偏离的区域差异比较。研究结果表明,广东省、浙江省和吉林省这三个省均出现就业结构的演变滞后于产值结构的现象,但是三个省的产业结构和就业结构的偏离程度各不相同。第4部分由第7章构成,是思考与对策部分。针对上述章节的实证分析后,给出了关于对我国产业结构和就业结构关系的思考,进而给出了关于我国产业结构调整的对策,以及关于我国就业结构调整的对策。第5部分是结论。对全部各章进行总结,给出结论性的叙述。

【Abstract】 From a logical point of view, the thesis conclusion three chapters which is dividedinto introduction, body. There is a total of five sections.Part1of Chapter1of the constitution, on the domestic industrial structure andemployment structure on research conducted Commentary on key concepts weredefined, and gives the logical framework of this study and research methods.Part2of Chapter2, is the theoretical part of this study, for the subsequent chaptersof research and analysis has laid a theoretical foundation. This section mainly on theclassical theory of the labor force combing and Commentary.Part3is the focus of this thesis from Chapter three to Chapter six compositions.Chapter3describes our three industrial structure and employment structureevolution, from the value structure of three industries,“primary industry, secondaryindustry, tertiary industry” mode to “secondary industry, tertiary industry, primaryindustry” mode shift the direction of the evolution of employment structure andindustrial structure evolution in the same direction However, the evolution ofemployment structure lag value structure.Chapter4is about China’s industrial structure and employment structure of theempirical correlation analysis; the results show that China’s first industry output andemployment structures were highly correlated. China’s tertiary industry output andemployment structures also showed a high degree of correlation. China’s secondaryindustry output and employment structure is irrelevant.Chapter5is about China’s industrial structure and employment structure of thedeviation empirical analysis shows that, from macro trends, China’s industrialstructure and employment structure on the total deviation experienced plummeting,volatility rose straight up, straight down phases. The data from1978to2012is84.6%down to45.6%, the data dropped by nearly50%. Description China’s industrialstructure and employment structure is gradually corrected deviations.Chapter6gives China’s industrial structure and employment structure evolution ofregional differences and deviations compared. The results show that GuangdongProvince, Zhejiang Province and Jilin Province these three provinces were laggingbehind in employment structure in the industrial structure evolution of thephenomenon, but the three provinces of the industrial structure and employmentstructure are varies.Part4of Chapter7, is thinking and countermeasures section. In response to thesesections of the empirical analysis is given on the right of China’s industrial structureand employment structure relationship thinking, and thus gives information aboutChina’s industrial structure adjustment measures, as well as on China’s employmentrestructuring measures.Part5is conclusion. For all the chapters summarize, given conclusive statements.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 吉林大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2014年 04期
  • 【分类号】F121.3;F121.3;F249.21
  • 【被引频次】2
  • 【下载频次】2430
  • 攻读期成果
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