【作者】 李建明；

【导师】 曾华锋；

【作者基本信息】 国防科学技术大学 ， 科学技术哲学， 2011， 博士

【摘要】 党的十七大报告,首次提出了“军事技术创新”的概念,此后该问题受到了广泛关注。风险性是军事技术创新的一个显著特征,论文由此切入,透过哲学视角,审视军事技术创新风险问题。首先讨论了军事技术创新风险的内涵,考察了军事技术创新风险的定义,军事技术创新过程中的风险分布状况以及军事技术创新风险与民用技术创新风险之间的区别。通过对军事技术创新风险演变的探讨,将军事技术创新风险的发展历史分为四个时期,依次是孕育时期、萌芽时期、显现时期和突显时期,并对各个时期军事技术的地位、军事技术创新的特点以及军事技术创新风险的状况等问题进行了阐述。对军事技术创新风险进行了分类研究,将其分为技术风险(性能风险、费用风险和进度风险)、军事风险(战略风险和战术风险)和社会风险(伦理风险、经济风险和政治风险)三大类,并结合具体案例对每一类风险要素的表现形式进行分析。从认识上的局限、军事上的对抗、利益上的博弈和经济上的约束等四个方面出发,分析了军事技术创新风险的原因。最后提出了规避军事技术创新风险的原则和途径。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the 17th National Congress Report of Chinese Communist Party, the concept of“military technology innovation”(MTI) was firstly put forward and recerved wide attention. As a prominent feature, risk was used to explore MTI from the philosophical perspective. This paper mainly researches five problems concerning the risk of military technology innovation (RMTI). Fistly, the connotation of the RMTI has been discussed, which includes the definition of the RMTI, the distribution of risk in the course of MTI and the differences between the RMTI and the risk of civilian technological innovation. Secondly, the evolution of the RMTI has been discussed. According to nations’participation in MTI and their ability to bear creative risk, the historical development of the RMTI can be categarized into four phases: the gestation times, the germination times, the obvious appearing times and the significant appearing times, and the development of the military technology each phase has been illustrated. Thirdly, the classification of the RMTI has been discussed. The RMTI can be divided into three categories, including technical risk (performance risk, cost risk and schedule risk), military risk (strategic risk and tactical risk) and social risk (ethical risk, economic risk and political risk), which have been analyzed in details with specific examples. Fourthly, the reason of the RMTI has been discussed from the limitations of knowledge, the military confrontation, the game of interests and the economic constrains. Fifthly, insightful suggestions have been elementarily raised from the priciples and ways.更多还原