【作者】 钟志威；

【导师】 雷钦礼；

【作者基本信息】 暨南大学 ， 数量经济学， 2010， 硕士

【摘要】 运用动态经济学与计量经济学的相关方法,并结合中国的经验数据,分别从理论和实证研究环境问题与经济发展的关系。首先,论述环境污染对经济发展的影响。研究了环境污染会降低经济系统的资本积累黄金律和收敛速度,并且构成经济增长的阻力。其中,中国自改革开放以来,由于环境污染产生的增长阻力大约等于一个经济增长百分点的1／10～1／5。其次,阐述了经济发展对环境质量造成的影响。从理论上解释了环境库兹涅茨曲线,得出结论认为环境库兹涅茨曲线的形状与跨期和期内替代弹性的大小有关,并利用中国的数据验证了这一结论。实证表明,中国目前处于环境库兹涅茨曲线的上升阶段。最后,论述环境质量与经济发展之间的博弈,指出建立基于市场的合作机制是解决环境保护与经济可持续发展的有效方法,认为低碳经济是未来经济发展的主流方向。更多还原

【Abstract】 Using the methods of dynamic economics and econometrics, together with china’s empirical data, we study the relationship between environment and economy from theoretical aspect and empirical aspect respectively.In the first place, we discuss the impact of environmental pollution on economic development; we argue that environmental pollution will not only reduce the golden-rule level of capital and convergence speed of economy system, but also drag on economic growth. According to our empirical study, from china’s inform and opening, the drag comes from environmental pollution on china’s economic growth equal nearly to 1/10～1/5 of 1%GDP growth.Meanwhile, we argue how economy affects environment quality. From theoretical aspect, we explain the theory of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), and get the result that the shape of EKC depending on the relation between intertemporal and intratemporal elasticity of substitution. An empirical study on china gives the evidence, and shows that china’s EKC lies on the rise part of inverted-U shape EKC now.At the last part of our paper, we discuss the trade-off between environmental quality and economic growth, our result is that to build up a mechanism basing on market is the best way to protect environment and develop economy. We believe that low-carbon economy is the main direction of economic development in the future.更多还原