【作者】 胡秀秀；

【导师】 韩宝明；

【作者基本信息】 北京交通大学 ， 交通运输规划与管理， 2010， 硕士

【摘要】 随着轨道交通的快速发展以及轨道交通网络的逐步形成,轨道交通枢纽的运营组织及集散效率问题越加受到关注。利用计算机仿真技术,对轨道交通枢纽内部的客流进行微观模拟,从而评价及提高客流集散效率,是轨道交通枢纽客流研究的趋势。客流生成作为客流仿真研究的基础,其生成的质量决定着客流仿真结果的准确性,因此研究轨道交通枢纽的客流生成原理具有重要的意义。基于上述背景,并结合研究团队自主研发的乘客集散仿真软件MTR-PedSIM,论文对轨道交通枢纽的客流生成模型进行研究。论文首先介绍了轨道交通枢纽的发展现状,并对国内外轨道交通枢纽的微观仿真及到达规律方面的研究成果进行了总结,阐明了构建客流生成模型的重要意义。然后对轨道交通枢纽的概念及类型进行了明确的描述,提出了研究轨道交通枢纽客流分析的三阶段法,并确定论文的主要研究范围。针对不同类型的轨道交通枢纽,分别分析了客流的到达规律、时间分布规律和站台的空间分布规律,系统地阐述了轨道交通枢纽的客流生成原理。在上述理论与概念分析的基础上,构建了轨道交通枢纽的客流生成模型,包含三种客流生成方式,分别是基于列车时刻表的客流生成、基于客流规律的客流生成和基于客流调查的客流生成。针对不同的客流生成方式,分别阐述了模型的输入条件、实现过程及算法,并开发了客流生成系统,介绍了客流生成系统的四大主要功能。最后,提出了三种方法对模型进行校验,分别是指标对比法、参数对比法、曲线拟合法。以北京南站综合交通枢纽和北京地铁雍和宫站为案例,利用校验方法对客流生成结果进行分析,从而证明生成结果的可靠性和模型的合理性。通过上述研究,结合客流生成系统,可以生成任何轨道交通枢纽的客流情况,为客流仿真系统提供丰富而基础的客流。更多还原

【Abstract】 With rapid development of rail transportation and the network, the operation and efficiency of rail transportation hub have become increasingly concerned. People simulate passenger behavior in rail transportation hub to improve the efficiency of passenger mustering and evacuating by using computer simulation, it has become a trend. Flow generation is the basis of flow simulation, which determine the accuracy of simulation results, so the research on principle of flow generation is important. Based on the above background, and simulation software MTR-PedSIM independently developed by team, Paper research on flow generation model of rail transportation hub.Paper first introduces the development of rail transit hub, and summarize domestic and international research results of microscopic simulation and arrival law of rail transportation hub, and clarify the significance of the passenger flow generation model construction. Then describe the concept and type of rail transit hub clearly, and propose the three-stage method to analyze passenger flow in rail transportation hub. After that, For different types of rail transportation hub, analyze respectively the arrival law of the passengers, passenger flow time distribution and flow spatial distribution of the platform, systematically elaborate the passenger flow generation in the rail traffic hub.Based on the above analysis of theories and concepts, built passenger flow generation model of rail transportation hub, which contains three generation methods. These methods are based on train schedule production, based on regular passenger flow rule and based on passenger survey. Then respectively describe the input conditions of model and implementation algorithm for the different methods, after that, develop passenger flow generation system, and introduce the four main functions of the system.Finally, three methods have been proposed for model calibration, namely, index comparison, parameter comparison and curve fitting. Taking Beijing South Railway Station and Beijing subway Lama Temple station as examples, validation methods was used to analyzing the results of flow generation, the analysis proves the reliability of flow generation results and rationality of the model. Through these research, combined with passenger flow generation system, we can generate passenger flow of any kinds of rail traffic hub, and provide rich passenger flow for passenger flow simulation system.更多还原