【作者】 徐日娥；

【导师】 董雷； 邓昆玲；

【作者基本信息】 华北电力大学（北京） ， 电气工程， 2010， 硕士

【摘要】 近几年,内蒙古电网的电力市场变化很大,进入“十五”以来,随着内蒙古经济突飞猛进的增长,内蒙古电力负荷增长迅速,负荷结构和特性也发生了很大的变化,2008年8月以后,受国际金融危机的影响,内蒙古电网负荷出现大幅下滑,负荷发展趋势突变,未来负荷发展的趋势和恢复的过程受各种因素影响变数很大,本文通过对内蒙古电网历史数据的分析研究,合理预测内蒙古电网未来负荷的发展趋势,为有关部门提供决策依据。本文首先介绍了内蒙古电网的发展状况和内蒙古经济发展特点,然后对内蒙古电网2000-2008年的负荷特性及其变化进行分析,研究影响负荷特性的主要因素,最后结合内蒙古电网的实际状况对未来几年的负荷发展进行了预测。更多还原

【Abstract】 In recent years, Inner Mongolia Power Grid’s electricity market has changed dramatically, Since 10th 5-year Plan, along with rapid economic growth in the growth of Inner Mongolia, the rapid growth of power load, load structure and characteristics of great changes have taken place.After August 2008, by the international financial crisis, There is a sharp decline in Inner Mongolia power grid load, load trends transform。the future load trend of development and recovery process is affected by various factors, variables large, this paper, the Inner Mongolia Power Grid analysis of historical data and reasonable Inner Mongolia Power Grid load forecasting future trends for the relevant departments to provide basis for decision making. This article describes the development of Inner Mongolia and Inner Mongolia Power Grid features of economic development. Inner Mongolia Power Grid 2000-2008 and then the load characteristics and changes in analysis, research load characteristics of the main factors affecting the end, combining the actual situation of Inner Mongolia Power Grid load on the development of the next few years was predicted.更多还原