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危机矿山接替资源找矿专项经济社会效果分析

The Economic and Social Effects Evaluation of the Exploration for Continued Resouse

【作者】 邵娜

【导师】 余际从;

【作者基本信息】 中国地质大学(北京) , 应用经济学, 2010, 硕士

【摘要】 2004年9月6日,国务院常务会议审议通过《全国危机矿山接替资源找矿规划纲要(2004-2010年)》,这是是国家扶持老矿山、促进资源型城市经济转型的一大决策。中央财政、地方财政及矿山企业配套投资达40亿元,目的是在老矿山的周边和深部新探明一批资源储量,延长矿山服务年限。本文主要内容分为两个板块:一是理论分析找矿专项的合理性和可行性,二是对找矿专项已开展的工作及取得的成效进行科学、合理、实事求是的评估,并为下一轮的找矿工作提供经验。具体内容如下:第一部分主要阐述了政策效果评估的基本理论,本文揭示了由独立性和研究能力均较强的高校科研人员作为评估主体保证了评估的科学性和客观公正性;政策效果评估的主要理论依据是福利经济学“效率和公平”问题,政策的成功需要在效率和公平之间找到恰当的平衡点。第二部分主要是理论分析,从理论上论证了危机矿山接替资源找矿专项的合理性、可行性。本文认为计划经济体制造成的历史包袱是矿山危机的重要原因,专项的实施是政府对老矿山的一种“反哺”,是补偿性的政策,符合公平原则;这项补偿性的政策从经济学角度(“贫困恶性循环”、“大推动”理论、“市场失灵”、“系统论与协同论”)考虑是有效率的,有利于全国经济的稳定发展。第三部分通过大量数据来说明危机矿山接替资源找矿专项实施4年来的经济、社会效果,截止到2008年底,总计投入33.5亿元,几种典型矿产的潜在价值达2.6万亿;平均延长矿山服务年限13年,矿山企业稳定就业人数达65万人,经济效果、社会效果突出。第四部分是案例分析,以内蒙古苏尼特右旗金曦黄金矿业有限公司为典型案例,分析了该公司实施危机矿山接替资源找矿专项2年以来的资源增加效益、经济效益、社会效益、管理创新效益等。本文选题切合实际,在对危机矿山接替资源找矿专项定性方面有新的突破,指出专项政府的补偿性政策,其找矿成果属准公共产品。

【Abstract】 In September 6, 2004, the State Council examined and adopted the "national crisis mines Resources Prospecting Project (2004-2010)", which is the national support for old mines. This project is another big decision to promote resource-based urban economic restructure. The central government, local governments and mining enterprises invested 40 billion, aimed at finding a number of new reserves from the old mines, extending the service life of mine.This paper is divided into two sections: one is theoretical exploration of Project rationality and feasibility, the other is a scientific, rational and realistic assessment to evaluate the work already undertaken and hope for providing experiences for the next round of exploration work. The details are as follows:The first part is to describe the basic theory of policy impact assessment, this paper reveals university research apartment can do the assessment work more efficiently because they are rational and impartial; welfare economics issue "efficiency and fairness" is the main theoretical basis of policy impact assessment. A successful policy need to keep a balance between efficiency and fairness.The second part is the main theoretical analysis. We try to demonstrate theoretically that resource exploration project is reasonable and feasible. Historical burdens caused the planned economic system is an important reason for mine crisis, this project can be seen as a "feedback" of these old mines. Secondly, the compensatory policy is efficient from an economic point, which is a "big push" force and can help to break the "vicious circle of poverty", government regulation makes up for the "failure" of pure market mechanism. This implementation which has a special relationship to the mining industry, mining, miners, mining town (referred to as the" four mine ") is conducive to the stable development of the regional and the national economy.The third part is to illustrate economic and social effects through large amounts of data. Total investment is 3.35 billion until the end of 2008, and the potential value of some typical minerals is more than 2.6 trillion, equivalent to 6% of 2009’s GDP, which means per million invest can output 77.6 billion potential value, the economic effect is obvious; The average service life of old mines extends 13 years, and enterprises employee increase 65 million, that is to say, 5,254 RMB can stay an employment and social effects outstanding.The fourth part is a case. We take SuNiTeYouQi Jinxi Gold Mines Limited corporation as a typical example, we have done an objective analysis of the company’s economic, social, effectiveness of management innovation.we define the achievement of this project quasi-public goods, this explain is quite innovate and is a new breakthrough.

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