【作者】 黄毅敏；

【导师】 陈洪转；

【作者基本信息】 南京航空航天大学 ， 系统工程， 2009， 硕士

【摘要】 如何提高区域协调发展的能力,首先要深入认识区域发展系统亦即科教-社会-资环-经济系统;要想深入了解该系统,应从系统间关系着手。首先,本文通过系统分析,构建各子系统指标体系的结构方程模型,并甄选科教-社会-资源环境-经济系统影响因子的指标体系。其次,把社会、经济、科教与资源环境四个子系统视作潜变量,分别建立科教-经济系统、资源环境-社会-经济系统和资源环境-社会-科教-经济系统的结构方程模型。经过多次模拟实验得出以下主要结论:(1)本文构建了比较合理的科教-社会-资环-经济系统指标体系。(2)科教子系统与经济子系统的路径系数为0.93,表明科技教育子系统与经济子系统有很高的正相关关系,在发展经济的时候,要注重科技教育方面的发展投入力度;资源环境子系统与经济子系统正相关;社会子系统与经济子系统正相关。(3)在整系统中,经济状况、产业化水平、医疗保障、社会保障、教育水平、科教产出、环境状况、资源量、节能减耗等影响程度比较大。更多还原

【Abstract】 In order to improve the coordination of regional development, we firstly need to go deep into theregional developments ystem,scilicet echnology-education-society-resources-environment-econ omic system; for a deeper understanding of the system, we should proceed with the relationship between elements of the systems.First of all, this dissertation constructed the Structural Equation Models of various subsystems index system through a systematic analysis, and selected the influencing factors index system of science and technology and education-society-resources and the environment-economic systems.Secondly, this thesis put the four subsystems─social, economic, science, education and resources and the environment as a latent variable,and constructed the Structural Equation Models of science and education-the economic system, resources and environment- society- the economic system and the resources and the environment-society-science and education-Economic System respectively.After several rounds of simulation experiments, this dissertation reached the following major conclusions:(1)This article established a more reasonable science - society - funded Central - economic system index system.(2)The path coefficient of science and technology and education subsystem and the economical subsystem is 0.93, which indicating that there has a high positive correlation between these two subsystems, development of the economy needs increasing the investment in science and technology and education. And there is positive correlations between economic subsystem and resources and the environment subsystem, as well as social subsystem and economic subsystem.(3)The influence degree of economic condition, industrialization level, medical insurance, social security, educational level, technological and educational output, environmental aspect, population size, and lower energy consumption and reduce pollutants discharge are relatively large.更多还原