【作者】 胡志明；

【导师】 熊俊；

【作者基本信息】 江西财经大学 ， 政治经济学， 2009， 硕士

【摘要】 对消费理论的研究无论在理论上还是在实践上都具有重要意义。从理论上看,消费理论是经济学理论的重要组成部分,凯恩斯宏观经济学的核心便是有效需求学说,对消费理论的研究可以不断丰富凯恩斯宏观经济学的内容。从实践上看,消费疲软一直以来都是我国经济发展三驾马车中最弱的一个,深化对消费需求理论的认识,能够指导我们采取更加有效更具针对性的政策措施解决我国经济发展过程中出现的消费需求不足的问题,从而更好的实现需求管理所要达成的政策目标。我国目前正处于转型期,体制转轨和结构转化是改革开放以来我国经济社会发展过程中的根本性特征。本文正是基于这种双重转型的特征,通过理论分析与实证分析相结合的方法,分析双重转型对我国城乡消费者行为的影响机制,构建起影响我国居民消费行为的统一且相对完整的分析框架,并在此基础上通过比较研究和计量等研究方法重点分析双重转型对我国城乡居民消费行为影响存在的差异。本文的研究结论表明,双重转型所包含的体制转轨和结构转化是影响我国居民消费行为演变的最根本的原因,二者相辅相成,既有促进我国城乡居民消费支出不断增长的作用,又存在抑制其增长速度的效应,两方的作用共同作用,推动了我国城乡居民消费行为以及消费结构的演变,使得我国城乡居民的消费行为在不同的时期表现出不同的特点。与此同时,通过比较分析研究,我们看出,双重转型对城乡居民的收入水平、所面临的不确定性大小、流动性约束以及消费环境等方面的影响大小和方式是不一样的,正是这种差异导致城乡居民消费行为方面呈现出差异。因此,我们应该采取更加富有针对性的政策措施,解决长期以来消费领域存在的问题。更多还原

【Abstract】 The study of consumption theory is significant both in theory and practice. Consumption theory is an important component of economic theory, and the core of Keynesian macroeconomics is effective demand theory. To study consumption theory can enrich the Keynesian macroeconomics. From a practical point of view, Consumption demand has been the weakest one for a long time in the troika of China’s economic development, so, to deepen the understanding of consumption theory can guide us to take the policies and measures which are more effective and more targeted to solve the problem of weak consumption demand in the economic development process of China, and to achieve the policy objectives of demand management better.China is in transition currently. The institutional transition and structural transformation are the fundamental characteristics of China in the process of economic and social development since Reform and Opening. This article is based on the characteristics of this dual transformation. Through combining theoretical analysis and empirical analysis , we analyze the impact and mechanism of dual transformation on the urban and rural consumers’ behaviors, then we construct an relatively complete and unified analysical framework to consumers’ behaviors in China . And on this basis, by the comparative method and econometrics we analyze the different behaviors of China’s urban and rural residents’ consumption because of dual transformation.This study concludes that the dual transformation that contains institutional transition and structural transformation is the fundamental reason of evolution of China’s consumer behaviors. The dual transformation promotes and curbs consumer spending growth at the same time. The two sides together promote the evolution of urban and rural residents’ consumption behaviors and consumption structure, and make rural and urban residents’ consumption behavior at different times shows different characteristics. At the same time, through comparative research, we see that the dual transformation has different impact on the urban and rural residents’ income levels、the uncertainty、liquidity constraints and consumption environmental. It is the difference that brings about urban and rural residents’ differences in consumption behaviors.Therefore, we should adopt more highly targeted policy measures to address the consumption problems.更多还原