【作者】 李啸龙；

【导师】 孙佰清；

【作者基本信息】 哈尔滨工业大学 ， 管理科学与工程， 2008， 硕士

【摘要】 防空导弹武器是国防武器装备的重要组成部分,是捍卫国家主权、保卫国家领土安全的重要武器装备。当前,我国防空导弹武器系统型号和整体性能处于飞速发展的时期,但是缺少明确的、可操作性强、定量的寿命周期成本管理方法和手段。并且,随着国防工业准入制度的重大变革,我国国有军工企业必须学习和掌握科学先进的成本管理理念,在导弹武器系统设计、研制、生产、售后服务等过程中建立全寿命周期成本管理体系,实现成本与效益的最优组合。只有这样,在日益激烈的竞争中才能立于不败之地。本文基于全寿命周期成本管理的理论分析,对防空导弹武器系统的全寿命周期成本管理进行了研究。具体的研究内容有:在分析全寿命周期成本管理基本思想的基础上,本文给出了防空导弹武器系统全寿命阶段及阶段成本,并将具体的成本分成固定成本类、变比例自变量成本类和因变量成本类三种类型。同时,给出了防空导弹武器系统全寿命周期成本管理流程及各阶段的主要工作。由于在设计阶段在全寿命期间管理中的重要性,本文将成本设计和总体优化设计相结合,给出了防空导弹武器系统面向成本的总体优化设计过程,并说明了该过程中的数据库、专家库等主要模块。在防空导弹发动机制造成本数据统计分析的基础上,结合实例建立了防空导弹发动机成本模型,并对某型号的防空导弹发动机进行了面向成本的总体优化设计。由于影响防空导弹武器系统的成本因子较多,并且有限的数据样本往往存在显著的相关性,因此本文应用偏最小二乘回归方法建立了防空导弹武器系统全寿命周期成本的单因变量估算模型,并且对所建立的模型进行了详细的模型精度分析和评价。最后,本文结合航天二院的实际情况,对防空导弹武器系统全寿命周期成本管理进行了实证研究,提出了具有针对性的全寿命周期成本管理基本思路及各阶段的管理重点。并且,对航天二院防空导弹武器系统成本控制管理DSS系统进行了简要的分析和介绍。更多还原

【Abstract】 The air defense missile armament is the most important weapon of national defense weaponry which guards the national sovereignty and the security of country. Presently, with the swift development of the air defense missile armament system of our country, the absence of the feasible, explicit and quota life cycle cost management method prevent the further development. And with the great revolution of the admittance institution of national defense of our country, the national corporations of war industry must learn and master the scientific and advanced theory of cost management, build up the life cycle cost management during the design, research, manufacture and sale service of the missile armament, realize the optimal combination of cost and revenue. In this way, the national corporations can succeed in the drastic competition.Based on the theoretical analysis of total life cycle cost management, this thesis conducts the research to total life cycle cost management of the air defense missile armament system. The concrete research content includes:Based on the basic philosophy of the total life cycle cost management, this thesis gives the stages and the stage cost of air defense missile armament system. And the concrete cost will be divided into the fixed cost class, always changing independent variable cost class and the dependent variable cost class. At the same time, the thesis gives the management flow of the total life cycle cost of the given antiaircraft missile armament system.Because of the significance of the design phase in the life cycle cost management, this thesis proposes the process of the whole-optimization design for cost of the air defense missile armament system by combining the design for cost and the whole-optimization design. At the same time, it explains the database and the expert base of the process. Based on the data of statistical analysis, the thesis establishes the air defense missile engine cost model unified the example. And an optimization design for an engine of air defense missile is carried on based on the design for cost.Because there are many factors influencing the cost of air defense missile, this thesis establishes the estimated model of single dependent variable based on the partial least-square regression. And precision analysis and the appraisal are also carried based on the established model.Finally, this thesis conducts the empirical study to the total life cycle cost management of the missile weapon system with the actual situations of the Second Academy of CASIC, and proposes the basis mentality and various management keys of the LCC management. The thesis also introduces the DSS system of cost control management of antiaircraft missile armament system.更多还原