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城市地铁项目建设对沿线住宅价格的影响研究

The Influence Research about City Subway Project Construction to Housing Prices along the Route

【作者】 秦艳花

【导师】 兰峰;

【作者基本信息】 西安建筑科技大学 , 技术经济及管理, 2009, 硕士

【副题名】以西安市地铁2号线为例

【摘要】 随着我国城市化进程的不断加快,大、中型城市的交通拥堵问题越来越严重,而传统的公共交通方式已经不能满足居民日益增长的出行需求。目前,发展以常规公交和地铁交通为主体的公共交通体系是解决交通拥堵问题的有效途径。同时,地铁交通方式的出现又是沿线住宅价格的助推器。所以,本文以正在建设中的西安地铁2号线为实证研究对象,对沿线住宅价格的变化进行定性和定量分析。首先,本文介绍了城市地铁项目建设的背景、西安市地铁2号线和城市经济发展状况;其次,在梳理国内外文献的基础上,对国内外相关的研究现状和特征价格理论的发展做了综述,总结了关于地铁项目对沿线住宅价格影响的研究成果;再次,结合西安市房地产住宅市场的实际状况,进行了因变量和自变量的比选,对住宅特征变量进行量化,构建了西安市住宅特征价格模型;最后,根据住宅样本数据,对特征价格理论的三种模型分别进行试算,选择回归效果最好的半对数模型。根据回归结果,进一步测算了地铁2号线对沿线住宅价格的空间和时间上的增值效应。论文研究的结果表明,西安地铁2号线对沿线住宅价格的影响半径约为2000米。在时间效应上,自2006年下半年至2009年初,地铁条件对沿线住宅价格的平均增值幅度在28.30%左右。在空间效应上,相对非沿线住宅项目,沿线住宅价格的平均涨幅为28.58%;住宅项目每靠近地铁站1米,住宅价格平均上涨0.16762元/平方米。在2000米半径范围内的每个住宅项目平均增值2854万元,住宅项目总增值约为139829万元。

【Abstract】 As the advance of China’s urbanization process accelerating, large and medium-sized cities become more and more serious problem of traffic jams, while the traditional methods of public transport can no longer meet the growing travel needs of residents. At present, the development of public transport and the MTR-based public transport system is to resolve the issue of traffic congestion an effective way.At the same time, the emergence of subway traffic is the boosters along the housing prices. Therefore, this article is currently under construction in Xi’an Metro Line 2 for the empirical study the quantitative analysis of the changes along housing prices.First of all, This article describes the construction of the city’s subway project need Xi’an Metro Line 2 and urban economic development; Secondly, on the basis of combing the literature at home and abroad, the papers reviewed the relevant research on the status quo at home and abroad and features of the development of price theory, and summarized the project on the subway on the impact of housing prices along the research results; Thirdly, the combination of residential real estate market in Xi’an, the actual situation, a dependent variable and self-selection variables, the characteristics of residential quantitative variables, constructed residential hedonic price model in Xi’an; Finally, in accordance with the residential sample data, the hedonic price model of the theory of three separate spreadsheet, select the best regression model. According to regression results, further calculations of the Metro Line 2 of the housing prices along the space and time of the multiplier effect. Paper the results of the study show that Xi’an Metro Line 2 of the impact of housing prices along the radius of about 2000 meters. The effection on the time since the second half of 2006 to early 2009, the MTR conditions on the average housing prices along the value-added range of about 28.30%. The effection in space, the relative non-residential projects along the route, along the average housing prices raised 28.58%; Residential projects near the subway station every 1 m, residential prices raised an average of 0.16762 Yuan/m~2. In a radius of 2000 meters within the scope, the value of each residential projects increased by 28.54 million Yuan; All residential projects increased by about a total of 1,398,290,000 Yuan.

【关键词】 地铁住宅价格特征价格模型
【Key words】 SubwayHousing PricesHedonic Prince Model
  • 【分类号】F224;F572;F293.3
  • 【被引频次】2
  • 【下载频次】187
  • 攻读期成果
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