我国转型期经济波动问题研究

【作者】 黄原；

【导师】 曹立；

【作者基本信息】 中共中央党校 ， 政治经济学， 2009， 硕士

【摘要】 我国的经济发展总是与经济波动相生相伴。在计划经济体制下,总供求受计划制定者主观意志的影响很大,经济波动的规律性受到很大程度的干扰,经济运行多次出现“大起大落”的局面。进入转型期,随着社会主义市场经济体制改革的深入和发展模式的转换,市场的作用日益增强,中国经济进入了长达三十年的增长阶段,但在中国经济保持相对快速稳定增长的同时,中国经济波动也进入了一个新阶段。通过对经济波动的深入研究,将有助于提早发现和解决各种威胁经济稳定增长的问题。对经济波动的研究有利于我们认识社会主义市场经济条件下经济波动的客观规律,把握经济运行的发展态势,适时适度地采取宏观调控措施,保持国民经济持续、稳定、协调发展。对改革开放30年来经济波动出现的新特征进行全面、系统的测定和分析,进而探索转型时期经济波动的形成机制及影响因素,对中国经济继续保持持续稳定增长具有重要的实践意义和重大的理论意义。本文主要研究了转型期我国经济波动的特征、影响因素以及相关的政策对策,论文第一部分首先简要介绍了经济转型与经济波动的一般理论以及治理经济波动的手段等内容;第二部分主要介绍了我国转型期经济社会发展的特征以及历次中国经济波动的特点。第三部分重点分析了并考察了转型期经济波动的性质、特征以及主要影响因素,探究了中国经济波动的原因及影响因素。第四部分在前文研究的基础上,借鉴俄罗斯、东欧国家转型期平抑经济波动的经验。第五部分探讨了应对经济波动的宏观调控政策。希望本文能为解决我国转型期经济波动问题起到一些积极和有益的推动作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 It’s known that there has always been a close relationship between the economic development and the economic fluctuation in China. The rule of the economic fluctuations was to the great extent linked with policymakers, who had a great influence on aggregate supply and aggregate demand in the period of China’s centrally planned economy, and therefore China experienced violent ups and downs of economy many times. With the development of the socialist market and economic growth mode, the market playing more and more important role in economic growth, China’s economy grew stably and rapidly in the past 30 years. China, therefore, has entered a new stage of economic fluctuations. The comprehensive and systematic analysis on characteristics of China’s economic fluctuations, in the three decades of reform and opening up, will contribute to earlier finding out problems of threatening China’s economic growth, understanding objective rules of economic fluctuations in the socialist market, taking appropriate macro-controlled measures to maintain a sustainable, stable and coordinated growth of China’s national economy, exploring the formation mechanism of economic fluctuations in China’s transition, and having a great significance to practices and theories of China’s rapid and steady economic growth. The thesis highlights characteristics, key factors and relative policies of China’s economic fluctuations in transition economy in consisting of five parts in order to solve the problem of China’s economic fluctuations in the process of its transition. The firs part briefly introduces the general theory of transition economy and economic fluctuations, as well as governance measures of economic fluctuations. The second part introduces characteristics of China’s transition economy development and its economic fluctuations. The third part focuses on nature, characteristics and factors of economic fluctuations in the process of China’s transition so as to explore causes and key influencing factors of China’s economic fluctuations. The fourth part analytics the experience of how the countries of Central and Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union to address economic fluctuations in the process of their transition economies. The fifth part discusses on macro-controlled policies of addressing China’s economic fluctuations in the process of its transition.更多还原