中美能源安全博弈

【作者】 杨志海；

【导师】 蒋昌建；

【作者基本信息】 复旦大学 ， 国际关系， 2008， 硕士

【摘要】 能源是现代人类社会生产和生活最重要的物质,各国的经济发展和国家安全与能源密切相关,能源安全深刻影响着当今国际政治的发展。能源分布不均、需求快速增长和政治渗透是能源安全产生的主要因素。围绕能源安全展开的国家间竞争能否产生合作的机会,能源博弈自主合作模型为中美两国开展能源合作提供了理论平台。中美作为全球能源消费主要大国,在能源领域存在着事实上的竞争。一方面中国经济快速发展需要能源支撑,另一方面美国担忧中国对能源的需求损害其自身能源利益,惧怕中国崛起对美国形成挑战。事实上,在全球能源储量丰富、供给相对平衡的情况下,中美需要共同开展能源合作,维护国际能源市场的稳定,合作将有利于中美长远战略利益的实现。合作是中美能源安全博弈的明智选择。从合作的视野出发,中国能源战略应该在立足自身保障能源的同时,要高度重视开展国际能源合作的战略规划,这是确保中国能源安全,实现经济社会健康发展的关键所在。更多还原

【Abstract】 Energy is the most important material for the production and living in modern mankind society, it has produced consanguineous relations between energy and economic development or national security among many countries. Energy security has deeply touches the progress of international politics today. Asymmetric distributing of energy, rapid rising of demand and political infiltration may be the main causes to energy security problem. Whether it can create chance of cooperation during the course of competition around the energy security, self-determination model of energy game provided a theory platform for energy cooperation between China and the U.S.China and the U. S., as the main energy consumption country, actually have formed competition relations in the field of energy. On the one hand, china needs enough energy to support rapid economic development. On the other hand, the U.S. worries about its energy interest being damaged by china’ s energy requirement. Also the U.S. is afraid of being challenged by china’ s rising. In fact, the abundance global energy reserve, relative balance of energy supply, china and the U. S. need develop energy cooperation together to maintain stability in the world energy market, cooperation is propitious to the long-term strategy of China and the U. S. So, cooperation is a wise choice during the energy competition and cooperation in china and the U.S.From the view of cooperation, china needs to attach most importance to carry out the strategy of international energy cooperation, even when it can afford energy supply itself. It’ s the key for China to insure its energy security and to achieve healthy development of Chinese economy and society.更多还原