【作者】 崔明杰；

【导师】 李远富；

【作者基本信息】 西南交通大学 ， 道路与铁道工程， 2008， 硕士

【摘要】 目前国内城市轨道交通建设快速发展,选择合适的路网规模和合理的路网布局,在满足城市交通需求的同时,还能促进城市的可持续发展。因此科学、合理地进行城市轨道交通规划成为我国建设城市轨道交通之城市所面临的共同问题。论文的主要工作如下:首先,在研究大量城市交通规划及轨道交通规划的文献和研究成果的基础上,探讨了城市轨道交通规划的基本理论,并指出了当前规划中存在的问题。接着又分析了现行的确定路网合理规模的几种通用方法,探讨了这些方法在进行路网合理规模预测时各自的优缺点。其次,探讨了城市轨道交通客流预测中的几种常用模式,着重探讨了“四阶段法”的应用,分别分析了出行发生、出行分布、方式划分、交通分配等四个阶段的模型原理。在分析城市轨道交通客流特点的基础上,提出了一种适合城市轨道交通客流预测的模型。再次,实际规划中提出的线网规划方案不止一个,所以需要对各方案进行综合评价以从中选择最优方案。本文从建设项目需要满足社会性、经济性和技术性的要求出发,探讨了线网评价指标体系的建立,提出了采用层次分析法与灰色关联度法相结合的综合评价方法,并利用此方法对某城市轨道交通规划方案进行了评价分析。最后,以某城市轨道交通线网规划为例对文中论述的客流需求预测理论、方法和模型进行了验证。更多还原

【Abstract】 Nowadays the urban railway transport develops rapidly in China. Then it is important to choose a rational scale and appropriate layout which have important effects on satisfying the passenger transport at present and accelerating sustainable development of the city. A common problem that the city which is going along with URT construction faces is how to plan an urban railway transport network scientifically and rationally.Summaries in the thesis are followed:First, the basic planning theory of URT is discussed, and the problems in nowadays planning work are pointed out. All these are upon the research on literatures and experience in practice. The current methods of confirming the rational scale of URT network are analysed. And the merits and defects are discussed of each method.Secondly, the modes of tranffic-flow prediction in common use are discussed, especially the use of "four-stage method". Each stage, such as trip-generation, trip-distribution, mode split, traffic assignment, is separately analysed. A method suitable for forecasting the passengers’ volumes of URT is propsed, based on the analysis of the characteristics of URT passengers.Thirdly, there must be more than one planning project in practice, so it is necessary to evaluate every project in order that the decision-makers can chose the best one. Then an evaluation index system about URT schemes is established, which includes all the needs of sociality, economy and technic towards a constructing program. The comprehensive evaluation can be conducted using Analytic Hierarchy Process and Grey Correlation Degree. An example is presented to practice this method.Finally, an example is operated to validate the models and methods in the thesis.更多还原