【作者】 田撗鄅；

【导师】 李京梅；

【作者基本信息】 中国海洋大学 ， 国际贸易学， 2008， 硕士

【摘要】 随着经济全球化和区域经济一体化的发展,建立双边或多边自由贸易区已成为区域经济一体化过程中最具有活力的一种形式,它是为实现相互之间的贸易自由化所进行的地区性贸易安排,区内各成员国之间取消商品货物贸易的关税和数量限制,使区域内各成员的商品实现完全自由流动。中国和韩国虽然从2002年开始就实现两国自由贸易区进行磋商,磋商的重点领域是农业和制造业,但是至今还未达成有效的协议。本文以国际经济学中关税同盟理论为理论基础,根据韩中两国农产品的国际竞争力、两国间农产品贸易现状,并运用农产品的依存度和产业内贸易指数,分析韩国对中国农产品的进口依存度和韩中两国农产品产业内贸易现状,得出韩国农产品国际竞争力相对较弱,韩国对中国农产品存在一定的进口依存度,韩国与中国农产品产业内贸易正在加强的结论,同时还分析了影响韩中农产品自由贸易区建立的其他因素,这些都为韩中农产品自由贸易区建立提供经济基础。文章进一步分析了韩中农产品自由贸易区建立给韩国带来的经济效应。文章引用巴拉萨模型和引力模型定量分析韩中农产品自由贸易区的贸易创造效应和贸易转移效应,得出农产品自由贸易区的建立给韩国带来贸易的创造效应,另外,虽然农产品自由贸易区会给韩中两国以外的国家带来贸易转移效应,但是使韩中两国和世界的福利水平提高;同时借鉴韩国对外经济研究院的研究对取消关税给两国各行业和贸易额的影响的研究成果进一步阐述该自由贸易区建立对其他各行业的影响。作为一名在中国学习的韩国学生,最后从韩方角度提出韩中农产品自由贸易区建立过程中韩国应注意适度保护本国的农业,利用生产技术、管理经验和资金优势及中国相应的经济政策加大对中国农业的投资力度,以使韩国经济在韩中农产品自由贸易区达成过程中平稳发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the rapid development of economic globalization and regional economic integration, the economic of most countries are becoming more cooperation and integrated. The trade becoming more and more integrated between China and Korea. Although the government of China and Korea advance to establish the Sino-Korea Free Trade Area, they have not reached any effective agreement. They all focus on agriculture and manufacturing.Our research is basic on the economic and trade influence after the Agriculture FTA of China and Korea has been set up. Basic on the Customs Union Theories, the FTA welfare Theories, the Intra-industry Trade Theories, We contrast the agriculture trade between China and Korea. Our basic finding is that China’s competitiveness in agriculture, the high interdependence of agriculture trade between China and Korea and the upward trend intra-industry trade in the agriculture. Besides the factors of geographic, economy of scale, direct investment, the structure of commodity and so on, are influence the feasibility of Sino-Korea FTA in agriculture. We use two mathematical models to measure the effects of Sino-Korea FTA in agriculture. As a result, macroeconomic effects of a possible free trade agreement between China and Korea in agriculture are likely to be magnified. Meanwhile, it will influence other fields of China and Korea. It promotes not only a short-run economic effect but also a continuous long-run economic growth by promoting Sino-Korea FTA in agriculture.更多还原