【作者】 宋辉；

【导师】 蔡鸿明；

【作者基本信息】 上海交通大学 ， 软件工程， 2007， 硕士

【摘要】 随着信息技术的发展,特别是电子商务的发展,ERP、供应链等企业管理思想模式为提高企业竞争力注入了活力。改变销售量预测对汽车企业资源配置决策能力的不足和优化企业的业务流程,整合已有的信息资源,实现信息的有效共享是企业得以发展的必然要求。本论文目标是建立一个灵活有效的配额分配模型,进而实现一个易于功能扩展与集成的整车销售系统。文中对目前最流行的企业管理模式ERP进行了分析,重点对一些流行的预测方法和需求预测模型进行了研究。采用定量预测方法与定性预测方法相结合的组合预测方式,利用EXCEL先后建立了移动平均模型、库存深度模型和最终配额分配模型,并利用数据进行了测试,从而确立了配额式订单管理模式,实现了用预测结果指导配额分配。文中通过结合业务流程重组(BPR)、业务流程管理(BPM)与企业资源计划(ERP)的企业管理思想,对业务流程进行了分析和改造。采用MVC设计开发模式,利用JAVA和JSP编程语言的灵活性与强大功能以及ORACLE大型数据库的可靠性和管理易用性,设计开发了基于B/S结构和J2EE技术的整车销售系统。系统采用WebSphere Application Server作为J2EE承载平台,方便了系统功能和性能的扩展,提供了高效稳定的运行环境。本系统还处在第一期研发和试用阶段,基本满足了实用性,系统将来会提供Web Services服务,使得系统可以同时为传统C/S结构的系统和B/S结构的系统提供服务。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the development of information technology, particularly the development of e-commerce, enterprise management models such as ERP, supply chain, and others have increased the competitiveness of enterprises. Strengthening the link between car sales forecasting and decisions for resource allocation, optimizing enterprise business processes, integrating existing information resources, and facilitating the effective sharing of information among enterprises have become the inevitable requirement for enterprise development.This paper aims to establish a flexible and effective quota allocation model so as to establish a vehicle sales system of easy expansion and integration. In this paper, the most popular ERP enterprise management model is analyzed, with special focus on some popular forecasting methods and demand forecasting models. Both qualitative and quantitative forecasting methods are employed, and Excel is used to set up the moving average, depth of inventory model and the final quota allocation model. Then testing is performed using the data. In this way, a quota-order management model is established, which realizes the guidance of quota allocation through forecasting results.In this paper, the business processes are analyzed and developed by combining enterprise management thoughts such as business process reengineering (BPR),business process management (BPM) and enterprise resource planning (ERP). Using MVC design and development model as well as Java and JSP programming languages with flexibility and powerful functions, and based on the reliability and ease-of-use management of ORACLE large-scale databases, a vehicle sales system is designed and developed based on the B/S structure and J2EE technology. The system uses WebSphere Application Server as J2EE bearing platform to facilitate the expansion of system function and performance as well as to provide a highly efficient and stable operating environment.The system is still in the first phase of development and trial, basically meeting the needs of utility. It will provide Web Services in the future to serve traditional system of C/S structure and system of B/S structure at the same time.更多还原