【作者】 王金赞；

【导师】 金菊良；

【作者基本信息】 合肥工业大学 ， 水文学及水资源， 2007， 硕士

【摘要】 随着我国社会经济的高速发展和人口的不断增长，水资源短缺、水环境恶化、洪涝灾害频繁等水安全问题日趋严重。水安全问题是一个复杂的大系统，它的解决离不开人的参与，要由人进行系统分析、论证、评价，然后经过优化决策，进入实施阶段。首先，简要论证了水安全问题的研究现状及多准则决策方法的基本理论和在水安全问题中的应用现状。接着，尝试应用多准则决策方法解决水安全问题，提出基于熵权的ELECTREⅢ法和基于垂面距离的改进TOPSIS法两种多属性决策方法、交互式模糊多目标决策方法、基于实码加速遗传算法的Stackelberg博弈模型解法。最后，将这些多准则决策方法用于解决实际的水安全问题，结果表明多准则决策方法在水安全问题中具有较好的合理性和可行性。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the rapid growth of our country’s economy and population, the problem of water security, such as water resource shortage, water environment depravation, frequent flood disaster and so on, become more and more serious. The water security is a complicated and big system, which shall be solved by man. The step to solve the problem of water security, include analyzed, argumented and evaluated by the person, than passing by decision, turn into the implement stage. First, the paper simply introduces the research of water security problems, the basic theory of multiple criteria decision making methods and the applications for water security problems. Then, the paper uses multiple criteria decision making methods to solve water security problems, brings forward two multiple attribute decision making methods, the one is an improved ELECTRE IIImethod base on maximum entropy principle, the other is an improved TOPSIS method base on plumb distance; brings forward a fuzzy multiple objective decision making method, and a method base on accelerate genetic algorithm to solve Stackelber game theory model. Finally, the paper uses these multiple criteria decision making methods to solve the real water security problems. The results show that these models and methods have feasible and applicable.更多还原