【作者】 罗曼黎；

【导师】 刘伟；

【作者基本信息】 武汉大学 ， 工商管理， 2005， 硕士

【摘要】 2004年初,武汉市政府启动了武汉新区开发,了解和把握影响土地价格的关键性因素,是新区进行合理规划和安排,经营城市的前提条件。为了对解决这个问题提供一个思路,本文从土地的预期收益决定土地出让成本的思路出发,选择住宅价格影响因素为研究对象,试图建立武汉市住宅享乐价格模型,并在此基础上对住宅用地价格影响因素之间的数量关系进行研究。 本文第二部分,将对享乐价格分析法的理论及应用情况作一个回顾,针对模型存在的问题,提出初步解决方案,为以后的研究打下理论基础。 第三部分为数据描述部分,该部分初步筛选研究中所需的住宅特征变量,并定义变量的赋值方式,确定了数据来源。第四部分在数据分析的基础上,选择因子分析法、加权等方式对数据进行处理,使数据更具现实经济含义。 第五、六部分建立了武汉市住宅价格特征模型,并应用模型对新区内某一地块的土地出让金的回收情况做出预测。 本文研究的成果主要表现在:在应用因子分析法的基础上,构建了区位综合评价模型;建立了武汉市住宅享乐价格模型;测算了湖泊对土地价值影响的扩散半径;得出区位、自然环境、房地产价格之间的数量关系。 本文的研究方法和结论为武汉新区的合理规划、利用资源、配置资金提供了参考,同时为消费者购房提供了评价工具。 利用享乐价格法进行实证研究在国内还只是刚刚起步,本文的研究在一定意义上具有探索性,研究结论的可靠性和普适性还有待检验。未来的研究可以从住宅特征因素的选择与量化、模型函数形式的选优、市场细分等方面进行更多的实证研究。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the early 2004, the Wuhan municipality started up the developing object of Wuhan New Area. It’s a precondition to know and master the factors influencing the land price to Wuhan New Area’s rational planning. This paper starts at the view that the prospective income of land decides the land remising cost, selecting the factors influencing the price of land used in housing as researching object, trying to find the hedonic housing price model for Wuhan, and on the basis of model, analyzing the factors influencing the land price quantitatively.In the second part of the paper, through reviewing the hedonic theory and its application, it brings forward potential questions that may exist in the application and their resolvent.The third part is data description including selecting and defining the hedonic variables, as well as confirming the source of data. On the basis of the third, the fourth part selects factor analysis and weighted techniques to repair the data.The fifth and sixth parts set up the hedonic housing price model for Wuhan, and make a prediction on certain lands’ returning.The major innovations of the research is designing the location general evaluation model on the basis of factor analysis, founding the hedonic housing price model for Wuhan, calculating the influent radius of lakes to the value of land, and knowing the relationship among location, environment and housing price in quantitative.The methods and conclusions of the research afford valuable suggestions and decision support to the developing of Wuhan New Area, at the same time, providing consumers a kind of evaluation tool.Using hedonic price model to make demonstration research is just on the way in China. On a certain meaning it is just a research. The reliability and application of the conclusions still need to check in practice. In the future, the further demonstration research could be made on the hedonic variable’s selection, the model equation’s form selection, and market segmentation.更多还原