【作者】 万群志；

【导师】 袁汝华；

【作者基本信息】 河海大学 ， 技术经济及管理， 2003， 硕士

【摘要】 我国是世界洪水灾害最为严重的国家之一，防洪减灾一直是国家的基本战略。如何在洪水风险中谋求生存和发展是风险管理中长期存在的问题，随着经济社会的进步，这一问题将越来越突出。了解洪水风险的基本特性，研究分析其内在规律，将大大提高防洪减灾的成效，最终实现人与洪水和谐共处的战略目标。 本文首先论述了我国防洪减灾的基本形势、洪水灾害的基本特点、江河防洪标准及其评价。其次分析了洪水风险的基本属性、分类以及洪水风险分析的基本内涵和方法。然后提出洪水风险图制作的方法和步骤。在理论分析的基础上，结合岷江成都平原洪水风险分析的具体研究项目，运用水灾频率分析方法进行了洪水风险区划的研究。最后对洪水风险管理的本质进行了论述，进而提出我国防洪减灾的战略思想。更多还原

【Abstract】 China is one of countries that suffer severe flood disaster. Flood defense and disaster mitigation have been nation’s basic strategy. How to develop in face of flood risk becomes more and more concerned as society evolves. The efficiency of flood defense will be greatly improved by study of the basic characteristics and principle of flood risk, which helps realize the aim of people and flood coexist harmoniously.This article firstly explains the state of flood control in China, basic characteristics of flood, criterion and evaluation of river flood defense. Secondly, it describes the property and classification of flood risk, connotation and method of flood risk analysis. Then the evaluation criterion system of flood risk analysis is introduced. After that figure out the method and details of flood risk map making system. Based on the theoretic method, Minjiang Plain is divided into regions by flood risk using the method of hazard frequency analysis is developed. In the end of this article, the essence of flood risk management and the strategic thinking of flood defense in China are described.更多还原