【作者】 李昕；

【导师】 丁勇；

【作者基本信息】 大连海事大学 ， 载运工具运用工程， 2003， 硕士

【摘要】 本文以在渤海湾航行的客滚船为评价对象，从单船的角度出发，在综合分析影响客滚船航行安全的内部因素和自然环境因素的基础上结合其他学者的相关研究成果确定评价指标体系，利用模糊综合评判的数学方法，根据国内外有关安全评价的相关资料和实船数据调查、分析和统计，制定各评价因素的指标量化评价标准、确定各因素的指标隶属度，并且利用层次分析法确定各因素之间的权重，建立多层次的综合评价数学模型，并以模型为基础开发了安全评价应用软件。该模型和软件经过了实船跟踪检验，输出结果比较符合实际情况。该项研究可以为港口监督人员、公司指挥人员提供科学的决策依据和参考，具有一定的实用价值。更多还原

【Abstract】 This thesis took the Ro-pax vessels in the water area of Bo-hai Bay as the objects of evaluation and approached the problem from the single vessel angle. Basing on the comprehensive analysis of the internal and natural environ-mental factors that affect the navigation safety of Ro-pax vessels; correlative materials about safety evaluation; the survey, analysis and statistics on the data of the true vessels, and combining with the correlated findings of other scholars, the author has established a criterion system on evaluation and took the mathematical means of Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment to formulate a quantitative assessment standard of evaluation factors and ascertain the Membership Degree of them. Thus, by the means of AHP, the author tends to determine the importance of these factors and conducts a multigradation mathematical model on comprehensive assessment, on the basis of which. The author has developed a series of applied software on safety evaluation. This research can be used as a useful basis and reference by the harbor suiperintendents and company controllers to make a scientific decision. Hereby it’s of great practical value on navigation.更多还原