【作者】 刘友洪；

【导师】 王杰；

【作者基本信息】 大连海事大学 ， 交通运输规划与管理， 2003， 硕士

【摘要】 随着集装箱运输业的发展，大型航运企业纷纷采取干支线班轮运输方式，以资充分发挥大型集装箱船舶的规模经济性。在新型运输结构的驱动下，港口展开了争夺远洋干线港，带动港口城市发展成为国际航运中心。目前，在我国华南、华东地区，国际航运中心建设已基本确定，但位于北方的青岛、大连和天津三港一直为此进行激烈的竞争，成了悬而未决的关键问题。由于考虑到天津港受到地理位置和自然条件的限制，以及论文中模型的复杂性，首先排除了天津港建设航运中心的可能性。 本论文从国际航运中心的基本内涵出发，首先论述了目前竞争现状给企业和社会所带来的不良后果。按照国际航运中心对港口和港口城市的基本要求，对影响国际航运中心建设的腹地经济及货源结构、港口条件、集疏运网络、港口位置和城市软环境建设等主要因素进行剖析，并同时分析了周边港口的竞争格局。在以上分析的基础上，首次利用经济博弈论的数学方法，分析论证了港口腹地货源在港口竞争中的至关重要作用。在本文最后，综合分析了青岛港和大连港的竞争优势，提出了最终的中国北方航运中心选址方案。更多还原

【Abstract】 Under the development of containerization, the stratagem of main stem and lateral model has been taken by all the big container liner companies in order to adapt to the economy of scale demands. A new competition of regional container hub, even the regional international shipping center, has been in progressing duo to the driving of new transportation structure.At present, the ports of shipping center are almost fixed in South & South-eastern China. The key issue of shipping interests is that the three ports, Qingdao, Dalian and Tianjin, have been taking part in the competition Cor the shipping center at all times and there are still no consistent agreements now.In this article, Tianjin port is not been taken into account due to it has the limits of depth of channel and geographical location. This thesis introduces the concept and intension of shipping center, and advances the essential requirements and functions of regional shipping center at the beginning.Firstly, the general situation and the negative consequence which result in the excessive competition were analyzed. Secondly, according to the requirements of shipping center, the main factors which have important impacts on shipping center of North-China were discussed in details. Furthermore, the comparison between Qingdao port and Dalian port, including the aspects such as natural condition, hinterland and foreland, transportation and logistic networks, routes distribution and port location, was expounded to set out the superior & inferior positions. The effects of all the main ports around North-eastern Asia area on shipping center were disposed. A model of game theory is built to evaluate the importance of hinterland economy on port turnover. Lastly, the optimal decision scheme that Qingdao port should be the better location, is put forward.更多还原