【作者】 邢新廷；

【导师】 张冬平；

【作者基本信息】 河南农业大学 ， 农业经济管理， 2000， 硕士

【摘要】 稳定农产品价格，保障农民利益一直是政府工作的重点和弱点。本文通过对玉米价格的研究，对在社会主义市场经济体制下，如何制定和管理玉米价格提出了自己的观点，特别是提出了玉米价格的预测模型。本文的主要内容是： (1)现行玉米价格体系庞大复杂，其构成分生产成本、流通费用、利润、税金四个部分。 (2)玉米价格形成受多种因素影响，主要是国家政策、货币价值、供求关系、差价体系、比价体系以及替代品和其他相关产品。 (3)建立了玉米价格预测的单个和综合模型，对2000年价格进行预测。 本文所做的分析对其他农产品生产和价格制定及预测也具有一定的参考意义。更多还原

【Abstract】 Though it is emphasized to stabilize the price of farm product and protect peasants’ profits, the price is always waved frequently and greatly attributing to many kind of factors by the government. In this study the penman bring forward some advice to determine price of maize in the social market economics surroundings, especially put forward a mode of price forecasting.In this study the penman discussed the complicated framework of the maize price, and particularly studied the main four parts: producing cost, circulating exes, margins, and taxes; the factors that affect maize price are policies of government, value of money, supply and demand, system price difference, substitutions and etc; some single and integrated modes of maize price forming are designed, and having forecasted the 2000 price of maize.This study may have some references to price -determining and producing of other farm product.更多还原