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我国投资公司股票选择理论与方法研究

The Research of the Theory and Method of the Stock Choice of Investment Company in Our Country

【作者】 刘建

【导师】 邵良杉;

【作者基本信息】 辽宁工程技术大学 , 企业管理, 2002, 硕士

【摘要】 本文从我国目前投资公司股票选择理论存在的不足之处入手,重点分析了原有基本分析理论在股票选择中的局限性,从如下六个方面,即宏观及行业因素、财务报表、成长性、财务杠杆和营业杠杆、公司的价值和公司经营失败的预警分析,结合定性分析和定量分析的方法进行了研究和探讨,形成了独特的投资公司股票选择理论。此理论从公司的外部环境和公司的内部因素全面地阐述了投资公司如何进行股票选择,以及通过对成长性、公司所处的风险、宏观及行业、公司的价值和处于不同行业的企业间财务比率进行量化处理,将影响股票选择的六大因素赋以权值后转化成股票选择的可能程度值,从而将股票选择用具体的数值来表示。本文为我国投资公司在股票选择方面提供了一个理论框架。

【Abstract】 According to the deficiency consisting in the present stock choice of the investment company in our country,the paper emphatically analyses the limitation of the basic analysis theory in the stock choice and depending on it forms a special theory of the stock choice for the investment company from the following six aspects such as the macro factors and line factors,the financial state,the growth nature,the financial leverage and operating leverage,the corporate value and the predicting warn of the corporation operating to research and explore by the qualitative analysis method and the quantitative analysis method. The theory overall illuminates how the investment company proceeds the stock choice and turns the stock choice into the concrete number by turning six factors given weights that affect the result of the stock choice into the probability of the stock choice by the quantitative method. The important points lie in:1 considering the external environment,the growth nature,the venture and the corporate value;2 overcoming the non-comparability of the financial ratios between the corporations of different lines. The paper provides the reference of the stock choice for the investment company.

  • 【分类号】F276.6
  • 【下载频次】297
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