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甘肃省人口迁移与区域经济发展相关性研究

The Correlative Study on Population Migration and Regional Economic Development in Gansu Province

【作者】 胡昕

【导师】 王晓鸿;

【作者基本信息】 兰州大学 , 区域经济学, 2013, 硕士

【摘要】 改革开放以来,我国经济蓬勃发展,在制度变迁和经济转型的共同作用下,区域经济差异促使人口迁移规模加大。大量实证研究已表明人口迁移与区域经济发展相互影响,区域经济差异促使人口迁移频度加大,人口迁移亦对区域经济发展发展产生深刻影响。由于二元结构、城乡分割、区域差异较大,当代中国的人口迁移有鲜明的中国特色。甘肃省地域广阔,跨度大,整体经济发展水平居全国末尾,且各个地州市在自然、经济、社会等方面差异较大,因此,对甘肃省人口迁移与区域经济发展相关性具体化研究具有重要的理论意义与现实意义。本文首先对人口迁移与区域经济发展的相关理论进行梳理,详细阐述了人口迁移与区域经济发展的基本概念与理论;其次分析了甘肃省人口与区域经济发展现状,研究发现甘肃省各个地州市大部分表现为人口净迁出;再次建立甘肃省人口迁移与区域经济发展相关性计量经济模型,使用EViews6.0对甘肃省14个地州市的人口、经济数据进行实证分析,从模型估计结果可以看出人口迁移与经济发展密切相关;最后,得出全文结论并提出相关的政策建议。

【Abstract】 Since the reform and opening up, China’s socialist market economy is booming, population migration is on an unprecedented scale, and remains long time. A lot of empirical studies have shown that population migration and regional economic development interact with each other, regional economic disparities promote frequency of population migration increase and population migration has a profound impact on the development of regional economic development. Due to the dual structure, rural-urban divide, regional differences, population migration in contemporary China has distinctive Chinese characteristics. Gansu Province is vast, the overall level of economic development is at the end of the nation, various prefectures and cities is different in natural, economic and social, therefore, study the population migration and regional economic development in Gansu Province has important theoretical significance and practical significance.This thesis is organized as follows:Firstly, sort out the theory of population migration and regional economic development and elaborate basic concepts of classical theory of population migration and regional economic development; secondly, study the status of population and regional economic development of Gansu Province and establish a population migration and regional economic development correlation econometric model. Using EViews6.0to analysis population, economic data in14prefectures of Gansu Province; finally, conclude the full text and make relevant policy recommendations. This thesis finds that the net population move out rate in14prefectures of Gansu Province is positive and population migration and economic development is closely related in Gansu Province.

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 兰州大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2013年 11期
  • 【分类号】F127;C924.24
  • 【被引频次】2
  • 【下载频次】326
  • 攻读期成果
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