【作者】 李海燕；

【导师】 李淑杰；

【作者基本信息】 吉林大学 ， 土地资源管理， 2012， 硕士

【摘要】 开发区作为改革开放的先行区域、区域经济增长的发动机,是推动地区经济发展的重要力量。然而其在土地利用过程中,诸如项目建设混乱、土地闲置浪费、用地结构失调、缺乏与“两规”衔接等不合理现象屡见不鲜。土地储备制度能够调控土地市场供需,促进土地资源优化配置,并增强土地资产的保值增值能力。长春净月经济开发区经济快速发展,具有规模大、高强度的土地开发建设需求,需要一个能够兼有宏观调控与微观实施的双重功能,具有政策性、结构性和空间性的纲领性文件—土地储备规划,来统筹和指导土地开发的总量、结构、布局、时序和强度。规划的实施将有利于保障开发区建设的整体布局更趋合理,经营性用地有序供应,进一步增强开发区对区域经济和社会发展的推动作用。本文以城市经济学、土地经济学、发展经济学的理论为基础,采用理论分析与实证分析相结合、定性分析与定量分析相结合的方法,充分利用遥感(RS)、地理信息系统(GIS)等技术手段,借鉴灰色马尔柯夫预测(GMM)和人工神经网络(ANN)理论方法,并应用经济控制论中的连续时间动态经济系统优化理论,尝试研究土地储备规划的内涵,并且结合长春净月经济开发区经济、社会、法律环境及发展定位,研究其土地储备规划编制要点,另外针对土地储备规划中的核心问题——储备规模、集成模式、时空布局及最优开发模式进行实证研究。研究结果表明(1)长春净月经济开发区土地储备开发规划分为四个步骤：首先为西部片区,其次为新城大街以东、银杏路以北区域,再次是柳莺路以南区域,最后为用以完善整个开发区的地块；(2)储备总量：近期(2010-2014年)3536.03公顷,中期(2015-2017年)835.39公顷,远期(2018-2020年)193.96公顷；(3)储备结构：居住用地1253.64公顷,占土地储备总量的27.46%；工业用地154.29公顷,占土地储备总量的3.38%；商业用地186.16公顷,占土地储备总量的4.08%；文化娱乐用地49.15公顷,占土地储备总量的1.08%；(4)本文研究用以引导开发区基础设施及产业发展合理布局以及住房空间布局,并实现土地资源开发利用的效益最大化,为长春净月经济开发区生态城建设目标的实现提供有效保障。更多还原

【Abstract】 Development zone as the reform and the first open policy area, the engine of regional economic growth,is the important strength of promoting regional economic development.However, the unreasonable phenomenon in the course of using the land, such as project construction chaos, land idle waste, land use structural imbalance, lack connection with " two plan" is often seen. Land reserve system can regulate the supply and demand of land market, promote the optimized allocation of land resources, and enhance the ability of preserving and increasing the value of land assets. The rapid economic development of Changchun Jingyue Economic Development Zone is facing with a large scale, high intensity of land development and construction requirement, and it need a land reserve plan which have dual function of macroscopical adjusting control and microcosmic implementation. It is a programmatic document including Policy, structural and spatial as a whole, which can plan and guide the gross, structure, layout, timing and intensity of land development.Establishment and Implementation of land reserve planning of development zone,will help ensure optimum distribution of land resources,business land supply in order,and then further strengthens the role on the regional economic and social development.The paper is based on urban economics,land economics and development economics theory as a foundation,the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis combined with qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis,the means of remote sensing (RS) and geographic information system (GIS) technology,the application of grey-markov prediction (GMM),artificial neural network (ANN) theory method and continuous time dynamic economic system optimization theory of economic cybernetics.It is try to research the connotation and points of land reserve plan in development zone,and combined with the actual situation practice in changchun jingyue economic evelopment zone,according to core problem--land reserve scale, integration mode and the time,space layout and Optimal development model for empirical research.The research results shows that Changchun Jingyue Economic Development Zone land reserve development planning is divided into four steps,the western area comes first,followed by the area between the west of xincheng street and the north of yinxing road,thirdly is the area of the south of liuying road,finally is the improvement of the whole development districts.The total area of land reserve is3536.03ha in2010-2014,835.39ha in2015-2017,193.96ha in2018-2020.For land reserve type gross structure,Residential land reserve area is1253.64ha,accounted for27.46%of total land reserve scale;Industrial land reserves area is154.29ha,accounted for3.38%; Commercial reserves of land area is186.16ha,accounted for4.08%;Cultural and recreational reserves of land area is49.15ha, accounted for1.08%.This paper studies to guide the development of infrastructure and industrial development layout and housing space layout reasonably,and realize the development and utilization of land resources benefit maximization,to provide effective guarantee for the realization of the goal of a net eco-city of Changchun Jingyue Economic Development Zone.更多还原