【作者】 万辉；

【导师】 丁荣贵；

【作者基本信息】 山东大学 ， 项目管理， 2011， 硕士

【摘要】 可行性研究是石油工业建设项目科学决策的重要依据,是项目前期阶段工作的核心。我国炼油工业近几年来采取的是以改扩建为主的发展路线,通过对现有设施的改造和扩建,使企业消除瓶颈,提升我国石化行业竞争力。由于改扩建项目在已有基础条件上进行,具有一定特殊性,需要对企业现状进行认真分析研究,选择符合企业实际和发展方向的技术方案。因此重视改扩建项目的特点,作好项目前期论证和研究,是避免或减少投资决策失误的关键。本文依据可行性研究的理论和研究方法,就特定的项目—中国石油化工股份有限公司济南分公司润滑油基础油质量升级项目进行前期论证。论文首先进行润滑油基础油产品的市场分析和市场预测,说明项目的必要性；然后开展项目生产规模、技术方案、配套工程、公用工程、能耗分析等技术论证等工作,并对项目涉及的环境问题进行论证；之后,利用财务评价的基本理论和评价体系,估算项目投资、效益和费用,进行财务指标评价与分析,并通过不确定分析研究项目财务风险,找出影响经济效益的敏感性因素。利用财务评价结果来论证项目的经济可行性,进行方案比选；最后,根据可行性研究过程和结果,提出润滑油基础油质量升级项目可行的结论,为项目的决策提供依据,为其他炼油改造项目在项目论证前期阶段可行性研究及评价提供参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 The project feasibility study is important for investing project in petroleum industry. In recently years, the mainly developmental step adopt by refinery in china is to implement technical improvement. By this way, the problem of this refinery could be solved and competition could be enhanced. The revamped project has its own characters because the condition is different from the new project. It is necessary that the status of enterprise should be analyzed carefully in order to find the suitable layout.Established under the guide of theory and method of the project feasibility study, the paper mainly demonstrated the feasibility on quality improvement project of lubricating oil distillate in Jinan branch of SINOPEC. First, the paper analyzed the market demand and trend for lubricating oil product. Second, other technical analyses have been done as follows:production scale, technical methods, auxiliary facility, utility plant and energy consuming analysis. Third, environment issue involved project have also been discussed. Fourth, the investment, benefit and cost of the project are evaluated by means of the basic theory and system in economic evaluation, so financial indexes could be obtained, also break—even point analysis and sensitivity analysis are made to find the sensitive factors. The result of economic evaluation can be used to compare different layout to get the better one. At last, based on feasibility study, we can draw a conclusion that the project is feasible, which provides the basis for the decision-making. At the same time, it also provides a referential method for the technical and economic evaluation of the other domestic revamping refinery projects.更多还原