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应急物流通道的选择与评价研究

The Research on Selection and Evaluation of Emergency Logistics Corridor

【作者】 滕敏

【导师】 程赐胜;

【作者基本信息】 长沙理工大学 , 交通运输规划与管理, 2011, 硕士

【摘要】 我国是一个灾害多发的国家,每年的灾害都给国家和人民的生命财产带来重大损失。加强灾害的预警与防范是各国、各级政府的职责,同时灾害救助的反应程度也是政府能力的表现。由于应急条件下物资运输调度具有突发性、不确定性、非常规性、弱经济性等特征,因此加强物流通道的研究,为各级政府和紧急救援物资支持保障中心的物资调度人员提供科学选择物流通道的方法,以提高应急救援工作的响应能力,具有十分重要的理论和实践意义。本文以应急物流通道的选择与评价为研究对象,在阐述国内外研究现状的基础上,引用了应急物流通道的相关概念和理论;提出了影响物流通道选择的因素,分析归纳出以物流节点、运输网络、运输工具和政策四大因素为指标选择依据,建立了相应的评价指标体系;在分析比较各种评价方法的基础上,选用了突变评价法进行评价;建立了突变评价方法的数学模型及研究了运算思路;最后,通过应急物流通道选择的算例,分析验证了此方法的科学性和可行性。结论表明,这种方法计算简便,避免了确定指标权重所带来的主观影响,符合应急物流动态变化的特性。具有很好的可操作性和有效性。本论文的目的,旨在通过对应急物流通道的研究,找出影响通道选择的因素及评价指标,并寻找评价的优化模型和算法。为政府加快反应速度及时处理应急事件、减少灾害或突发事件对人们的生命财产造成损失而提供通道决策方法上的借鉴和理论指导。

【Abstract】 China is a disaster-prone countries, and the annual disasters are making significant losses of lives and property to the country and its people. Strengthening early warning and prevention to disasters are the responsibilities of the national and local governments. At the same time the degree of response disaster relief is also a manifestation of government capacity. Since the materials transportation under emergency scheduling has the following characteristics, such as sudden, uncertainty, unconventional, weak economy and so on. Therefore, to strengthen the research on the logistics corridor will give all the support to the local governments and the staff of emergency material supply centers. It has very important theoretical and practical significance, that provide scientific method to choice logistics corridor in order to enhance its ability to respond to emergency relief work.In this thesis, the subject is selection and evaluation of emergency logistics corridor. The concepts and theories of emergency logistics corridor are cited based on the research situation of domestic and foreign, and the elements to selection the logistics corridor is proposed. The corresponding evaluation index system is established based on the analysis and summarized in logistics nodes, transport network, transport and policy choice of the four factors as the index basis. Based on the analysis and comparison of various evaluation methods, in this thesis, it choices Catastrophe evaluation method, establishes the mathematical model of Catastrophe evaluation method and analysis the idea of the operation. Finally, a case study of emergency logistics corridor selection is given to verify the science and feasibility of the method. Conclusions show that this method is easy to determine the weights to avoid the subjective effects brought in line with the characteristics of dynamic response logistics, and it has good operability and effectiveness. The purpose of this thesis is to identify the factors that influence emergency logistics corridor selection and evaluation indicators, and to find the optimal evaluation model and algorithm based on the research of emergency logistics corridor. It can provide access for reference on the decision-making methods and theoretical guidance which can help government to speed up the reaction rate for the timely processing of emergency events and reduce the disaster on people’s lives and property losses.

  • 【分类号】X43;F259.2;F224
  • 【被引频次】4
  • 【下载频次】188
  • 攻读期成果
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