【作者】 王丽；

【导师】 梁兴辉；

【作者基本信息】 燕山大学 ， 区域经济学， 2010， 硕士

【摘要】 在我国251座地级城市(2009年底)中,非省会地级市达238座,约占总数的95%,是我国地级市的主体部分。本文旨在采用结构方程模型(SEM)方法对我国非省会地级市发展水平进行评价,且与主成分分析(PCA)方法的评价结果进行比较,并从空间区位和城市规模两个角度对评价结果进行进一步分析。首先,对城市发展的相关理论进行梳理,构建涵盖经济、社会、环境三个层面的城市发展评价体系;并通过对现有城市发展评价方法的比较,确定本文的评价方法,从而为本课题以后的研究打下理论和实证分析基础。其次,采用SEM和PCA两种方法对非省会地级市的发展水平进行评价,并利用斯皮尔曼系数方法对两者进行比较分析。结果表明,SEM方法优于PCA方法,这说明利用SEM方法对城市发展水平进行评价,其结果更加合理、准确。再次,在SEM方法评价结果的基础上,从空间区位和城市规模两个角度对非省会地级市的发展水平进行分析。空间区位视角分析结果表明,东部非省会地级市发展水平总体上远远超过中部和西部,且内部城市发展差距也远远高于中西部。城市规模视角分析结果表明,超大城市四项发展水平总体上远远超过特大、大、中等及小城市,且内部城市发展差距也远远高于其余四者,而特大、大、中等与小城市,无论从总体上还是其内部差距上,都没有明显差异。最后,基于以上分析结果,分别提出推进区域之间及区域内部城市公共服务均等化、加大政策扶持、规范自身发展和鼓励条件较好的大、特大城市发展为超大城市、保持各类规模城市协调发展的政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 In 251 county level cities(by the end of the year of 2009) of China, there are 238 non-provincial capital county level cities which constitute about 95 percent of the total number and are body part of our country’s county level cities. The purpose of this article is to evaluate the development of the non-provincial capital county level cities by the method of structural equation modeling and compare with the evaluation result by principal component analysis, at the same time, it makes further analysis of the evaluation result from the angles of space location and city scale.Firstly, put the relative theory of city development in order and construct the evaluation system of city development covering three levels of economy、society、environment; identifying this article’s theory of evaluation through the comparison of the evaluation theory of the current city development so as to forms the base of theoretically and empirically analyzsis.Secondly, evaluate the development of non-provincial capital county level cities by the method of SEM and PCA which will be compared by the method of spearman correlation coefficient. The result indicates that the SEM has an advantage over the PCA from which tells that as to the evaluation the development of city, the method of SEM is more reasonable and accurate.Thirdly, on the basis of the evaluation result of SEM method, analyzes the development of non-provincial capital county level cities from the angles of space location and city scale. The analysis result of the former angle indicates that the development level of eastern non-provincial capital county level cities tatally far exceed that of in west and central regions and so do the gap of the inner city’s development.Analysis of city size showed that the four urban development of large are further more than big, big, medium and small cities in general. Urbans within the district is much higher than the other four, while the large, large, medium and small cities , has no significant difference.both in general or its internal gaps.Finally, based on the above results, policy recommendations were presented to promote the equalization of urban public services among the regions , support policy, regulate their own development ,encourage large and large urban development in better conditions to mega cities, and maintain cities of all sizes to coordinated development.更多还原