【作者】 胡红婷；

【导师】 张丽；

【作者基本信息】 华中科技大学 ， 政治经济学， 2009， 硕士

【摘要】 2003年至2008年上半年是世界经济和我国经济强劲增长的几年,我国石油资源的消费对外依存度迅速加大,国内石油供需矛盾日显突出。在构建和谐社会的形势下,我国成品油市场不断出现“油荒”和石油企业不断出现“亏损”的不和谐现象,对我国成品油的生产和流通产生了极大的负面影响。结合作者在石油行业相关工作经历,本文从理论探讨、定量和实证定性分析入手,运用宏微观经济分析原理,对我国“油荒”现象进行了系统、深入的分析,提出了具有一定创新性的观点和思路。本文首先介绍了研究背景及意义,对国内外学者关于“油荒”现象的成因和宏微观经济影响进行了综述,其次对我国“油荒”现象产生的国际和国内原因进行了分析,运用宏微观经济原理研究“油荒”现象产生的经济影响和对相关产业的冲击。最后提出了应对“油荒”现象的对策和建议。本文结论是:由于我国没有国际油价定价权,而国内资源约束形势相对比较严峻,石油定价体制和石油行业机制也存在缺陷,使“油荒”现象成为威胁我国石油安全不可回避的现实问题。要化解“油荒”现象,根本的是要完善国家宏观政策调控,推进价格、行业等规制改革,还要积极参与国际石油市场定价,才能使我国石油市场将更加平稳、有效率的发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 During the year 2003 and the first half of 2008, the world and China’s economy grow rapidly, it made the China’s external dependence on oil resources increase rapidly, Domestic oil supply and demand have become increasingly conspicuous. The“Oil-shortage”in the refined oil market and the loss of oil companies have a great negative impact to the policy of building a harmonious society. Combined author’s work experience in the oil industry with the macro-micro economic theory, from the theoretical discussion and empirical analysis of qualitative and quantitative, this article made a systematic and in-depth analysis on this phenomenon and put forward some innovative views and ideas.At first, it introduces the background and significance of this research, and makes a summary of the reasons of "Oil-shortage" phenomenon. Secondly,the thesis analyze the international and domestic reasons of this phenomenon.At last,it analyze the impact of "Oil-shortage" phenomenon. The last chapter gives some suggestions to deal with "Oil-shortage”.This article concluded that: China has no pricing power on the international oil prices, the domestic resource constraints are in relatively severe situation, and there is also a shortcoming in the oil pricing system and the mechanism of the oil industry, therefore as a threat to China’s oil security, the "Oil-shortage" phenomenon cannot be evaded. To resolve the "Oil-shortage" phenomenon, it is necessary to fundamentally improve the national macro-economic control and to promote the reform in the price and industry regulatory, and we should also actively participate in the international oil market pricing, so as to make the development of China’s oil market more stable and efficient.更多还原