【作者】 朱光亮；

【导师】 黄飞；

【作者基本信息】 天津大学 ， 行政管理， 2010， 硕士

【摘要】 从根本上说,一个社会利益格局的大体均衡是社会不同群体利益博弈的结果。不同群体在表达和追求自己利益的权利与能力上存在巨大的差异。现阶段强势群体不仅已经形成一种比较稳定的结盟关系,而且具有了相当大的社会能量,对整个社会开始产生重要影响。而弱势群体在追逐自己利益方面,显然出于无力的状态,他们在国家的政治构架中缺少利益代表,缺少表达自己利益的制度化方式。当弱势群体的利益受损而无法通过一种制度化的安排来表达其利益诉求时,采取合法的利益表达方式有时可能被认为是无效的,而有效的利益表达方式都是不合法的。不同社会主体的利益博弈导致利益关系的不平衡。许多社会矛盾纠纷与暴力冲突问题,都反映了这些利益博弈的特定后果。所以,深入研究社会各利益之体之间的博弈关系,将对政府部门提高应对群体性突发事件的能力具有重要的意义。本文通过对国内外大量关于群体性突发事件的理论文献以及近年来我国发生的多起群体性事件的研究,对群体性突发事件的成因进行分类分析,结合博弈论的相关理论,提出假设,建立进化博弈模型,通过对模型的均衡分析,提出在群体事件应对过程中,政府部门应该根据不同的情况采取相应的策略。从而尽量使整个社会的收益接近最大化。更多还原

【Abstract】 Basically, the general balance of social interests is the results of different social groups. Different social groups differ hugely in expressing and pursuing their own interests in the rights and ability. Strong group has been formed at this stage not only a more stable alliance relationship at the present stage, but also a considerable social energy which have a great impact on the whole community. At the same time, vulnerable groups are week in pursuit of their own interests, because of inability of the social status and lack of Representative on behalf of their interests within political framework, with no institutionalized way of expressing their interests. When the interests of vulnerable groups can not satisfied by an institutional arrangement to express their interest demands, to adopt a legitimate expression of interest may sometimes be considered invalid, and oppositely effective way of expressing their interests are not legitimate. Game of the main interests of different social interests led to the imbalance. Many violent social conflicts and disputes and conflict, these interests are reflected in the specific consequences of the game. Therefore, in-depth study of various interests between groups, pose great significance for government departments in improving emergency response capacity for mass event.Based on the many domestic and international incidents on the theory of mass event and even more cases occurred in China recent years, emergencies are classified and analyzed on their causes in this thesis, combined with the theory of game theory, a hypothesis the establishment of evolutionary game model, the model of equilibrium through the analysis, bringing up suggestion for government in handling mass event so as to maximize the benefits for the whole society.更多还原