【作者】 钟悦之；

【导师】 刘影；

【作者基本信息】 江西师范大学 ， 人文地理学， 2011， 硕士

【摘要】 ?气候变化是全球关注的热点环境问题。许多研究都证明,气候变化主要是由人类活动引起的,其驱动因子主要是温室气体,而二氧化碳又占到了整个温室气体排放的76%。中国政府以科学发展观为指导,提出了加快建设资源节约型和环境友好型社会的战略目标,江西省也于2010年开始进行低碳发展试点。因此,准确地把握区域碳排放特征,采取有针对性的措施减少碳排放意义重大。论文以江西省域二氧化碳排放的时空特征为主线,运用理论研究与实证分析相结合的方法,研究测算了江西省二氧化碳排放现状和趋势,结合案例分析提出江西发展低碳经济的必要性,以期为类似地区提供参考。论文在收集大量的文献资料和整理了国内外温室气体尤其是二氧化碳排放研究的基础上,对有关的碳排放测算方法及系数进行总结,确定了江西省二氧化碳排放量的测算方法;运用遥感、GIS技术分析江西省土地利用变化情况并计算土地利用变化导致的碳排放;计算水泥生产、人口排放的二氧化碳;了解江西省能源消费的总体状况,在对能源利用排放二氧化碳的量进行计算的基础上进一步分析江西省11个设区市的能源碳排放空间特征;分析和预测了工业型和生态型两个县市的碳排放。研究结论表明,全省1995-2009年碳排放量呈现上升趋势,由8659万吨上升为16571万吨;土地利用变化导致的二氧化碳排放方面,水田转化为聚居地导致的碳排放最大,林地转化为聚居地次之,应慎重扩张城市;能源消耗是江西省二氧化碳排放的主要来源,应提高能源使用效率;空间上全省能源碳排集中在赣北及赣西北,九江新余萍乡宜春占到全省能源碳排的60-70%;贵溪市和资溪县的案例分析表明,发展低碳经济是处理好经济发展和环境保护两者关系的必由之路。更多还原

【Abstract】 Climate change is the biggest global concern today. Many studies show that the climate change is caused by human activities. The driving factor of global warming is greenhouse gases, particularly the carbon dioxide whose accounted for the entire 76% of greenhouse gas emissions. The Chinese government set up a strategic goal of building a conservation-minded and environmentally friendly society guided by the scientific approach. Jiangxi Province have began to carry out low-carbon development pilot project in 2010. Consequently, grasp the macro characteristics of a region’s carbon emissions, and then take measures to reduce the number of carbon emissions with a purpose are significance of this magnificent.This thesis taking the research on carbon emissions spatial and temporal characteristics of provincial as its mainstream, systematically calculated the number of carbon emissions and probes into the status of the carbon emissions, then research on two typical cases put forward the need for a low carbon economy in Jiangxi, in order to provide a reference for similar areas.Firstly, based on collecting a mass data and arranging the internal and external greenhouse gas emissions research, especially carbon emissions research, this thesis summarizes the various carbon emissions factors, and also builds the measuring and calculating methods of carbon emissions; Secondly, it using remote sensing, GIS means of land-use land-cover(LULC) change in Jiangxi province and calculate the carbon emissions caused by LULC change; Thirdly, it calculated the carbon emissions caused by cement production and human respiration; Fourthly, based on calculation of carbon emissions caused by energy utilization, it analysis the overall carbon dioxide emissions condition and trend of spatial and temporal characteristics of eleven prefecture-level cities. Fifthly, it analysis and predict the carbon emissions of two counties which one is industrial type and the other is ecotype.The results are listed as follows: The province’s carbon dioxide emissions is on the rise, from 86.59 million tons in 1995 to 165.71 million tons in 2009; Paddy fields turn into settlements led to the largest carbon emissions, the second is forest land turn into settlements. We should prudent to expend cities; Energy consumption is the main source of carbon emissions, we should increase the energy efficiency; Carbon emissions caused by energy concentrated in the north and northwest of Jiangxi, Pingxiang, Xinyu, Yichun, Jiujiang accounted for 60-70% of whole of the energy carbon emissions; The analysis of Guixi and Zixi counties show that: low-carbon economy is the only way to dealing with the contradictions of economic development and environmental.更多还原