劳动工资上涨对全要素生产率的影响分析

【作者】 张敏娜；

【导师】 芮明杰；

【作者基本信息】 复旦大学 ， 产业经济学， 2011， 硕士

【摘要】 劳动力资源丰富、价格低廉一直是我国经济竞争的显著优势,然而随着近年来我国快速的经济发展和刘易斯转折点到来,工资水平快速上涨,中国经济面临着复杂的境地。一方面,劳动力工资的上涨,使得各地企业面临着升级与转型的巨大压力,“倒逼”企业主动调整产业结构,增强自主创新能力,扩大产品附加值,降低经济增长对低级出口和外国投资的过分依赖。另一方面,同时,提高工资性收入有利于缩小贫富差距、扩大消费、拉动内需,增加经济的内生性动力。然而劳动力成本过快增长又会削弱产业竞争力,并可能因此导致经济增长放缓,就业岗位减少。在这种背景下,对劳动工资与全要素生产率的关系进行探讨就具有重要的现实意义。本文通过考察劳动工资上涨的原因、趋势以及全要素生产率的影响因素,从需求的角度,探索性地分析了劳动工资对全要素生产率之间的影响与作用机理,并以此为基础提出了相应的政策建议。本文的主要内容如下：第一：劳动工资上涨的现状与原因；第二：介绍了全要素生产率的相关理论研究进展,并对全要素生产率增长的主要测量方法进行简单的介绍；第三：介绍了全要素生产率的影响因素,在理论上分析了劳动工资对全要素生产率的作用机理。第四：利用1980-2009年中国的投入产出数据计算了中国经济的全要素生产率；在此基础上对工资与全要素生产率之间的关联性进行了实证分析,并考察了其可能的作用路径。第五：基于本文的实证研究结果,给出了本文的政策建议和进一步的研究展望。更多还原

【Abstract】 The rising labor wage, on one hand, exerts considerable pressure on enterprise innovation, as well as raises challenges on the way to increase added value and reduce dependency on stimulations from low-level products exportation. Simultaneously, it favors the narrow of income gap, the expansion of consumer demand, and the increase of internal economic impetus. On the other side, excessive increase in labor cost would impair industrial competiveness, and may result in economic development deceleration and increased job loss. In this context, investigation on the relationship between labor compensation and total factor productivity present pragmatic values. This paper attempts to study the connections between TFP and labor wage from the consumption perspective and offers some suggestions.The main content of this paper are as follows:firstly, this paper introduces the status reasons of labor wage of China recently. Secondly, it has some review of preceding research on TFP, and then presents several computing methods of TFP. The third part explores the influencing factors of TFP and probe into the functional routes of labor wage to TFP theoretically. According to the input-output data from 1980 to 2009, we calculate the TFP of China in this time period. Then this article analyzes the relationship between labor wage and TFP and the possible action mechanism. Finally, based on the empirical results, this paper gives some policy suggestions and further research outlook.更多还原