【作者】 王静；

【导师】 周伟；

【作者基本信息】 长安大学 ， 交通运输规划与管理， 2011， 硕士

【摘要】 目前,世界各国正在为实现可持续发展不懈努力,我国也在大力倡导并积极推进资源节约、环境友好型社会的建设。家庭交通碳排放的研究有助于人们定性认识到家庭作为社会的基本组成单位,由交通出行给社会带来的环境负担。本文以《空间规划与低碳西安》问卷调查为主要数据来源,在参考国内外关于家庭交通碳排放研究的基础上,分析出行方式、出行距离、文化程度、家庭收入等对家庭交通碳排放的影响,并建立影响模型。本文主要做了以下工作：(1)在检索国内外文献关于家庭交通碳排放理论的基础上,总结得到确定碳排放系数是计算家庭交通碳排放的一个重要环节,并且交通碳排放系数的确定有两种途径,一是根据交通方式确定,一是根据燃料类型确定。(2)根据调查问卷中的数据,分析出行方式、出行距离、成员的文化程度与年龄、家庭收入、单位性质,是否使用小汽车等因素对家庭交通碳排放的影响。分析得到,出行方式、出行距离、文化程度、家庭收入等因素与家庭交通碳排放呈较强的线性相关性。(3)以家庭交通碳排放量作为因变量,以上述影响因素作为自变量,分别采用含虚拟变量的多元回归模型、含定序变量的多元回归模型、基于主成分分析的多元回归模型建立家庭交通碳排放影响模型。采用上述三种模型,结果均表明,影响家庭交通碳排放的因素主要有：出行距离、出行方式、家庭收入,文化程度对家庭交通碳排放的影响不是特别显著。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper used the "Spatial Planning and low-carbon Xi’an" survey as the main data source. On the basis of referencing to domestic and international research on family transport carbon emissions, this paper analyzed the effect of trip purpose, trip distance, education, family income on the family transport carbon emissions, and establish models for it.This article has done the following work: (i) On the basis of reviewing literatures, I found that defining the factor of carbon emissions is an important part of computing family transport carbon emissions. There are two ways of defining the factors, one is based on the travelling mode, the other is based on fuel type.(ii) On the basis of the survey data, I analyzed the effect of travelling mode, distance, education, age, income, job, whether or not using the car to the family transport carbon emissions. I found that travelling mode, distance, education and income have linear correlation with family transport carbon emissions.(iii) This paper established the regression model, taking family transport carbon emissions as dependant variable and the above-mentioned factors as independent variables. There are many fixed class variables, I used dummy variables and ordinal variables to quantify them. Principle Component Analysis(PCA) was used to establish the regression model. As a result of the model, travel distance, trip mode, household income are the main factors influencing the family traffic carbon emissions, while education has little impact on it.更多还原