中国出口贸易低碳化策略研究

【作者】 杨洋；

【导师】 郑传均；

【作者基本信息】 中南大学 ， 国际贸易学， 2010， 硕士

【摘要】 我国出口贸易规模持续扩大,使能源消费量不断提高,因出口贸易而引发的隐含碳排放量也一直居高不下。中国是全球出口第一大国,出口贸易在带动国民经济增长的同时也导致大量碳排放。对出口贸易中隐含碳排放的结构及影响因素开展研究具有重要的理论和现实意义。论文选取了18个主要出口行业,利用扩展的投入产出模型对我国1997、2002、2005、2007四年各出口行业隐含碳排放分别进行估算,根据测算结果对各出口行业的隐含碳排放进行了对比分析,揭示我国出口隐含碳的结构和行业分布特征。随后,论文运用出口贸易环境效应模型,选取2005-2007年9个主要隐含碳出口行业,分别分析了出口隐含碳排放的规模效应、结构效应和技术效应这三方面因素。结果显示我国出口贸易规模不断扩大是导致我国出口隐含碳排放持续增长的主要原因,出口行业结构也不尽合理,出口行业结构变化不仅未能使贸易向低碳化方向发展反而导致隐含碳排放增加,技术进步虽然有利于降低出口贸易带来的隐含碳排放,但其效应不足以抵消规模效应引发的隐含碳排放量剧增。最后根据上述测算与分析,提出了我国贸易低碳化发展的战略思路,分别从国家、产业和企业三个层面提出了贸易低碳化发展的政策与措施。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the recent years, while the scale of China’s export trade continued to soar, the consumption of energy has been increasing and the emission of embodied carbon caused by the export trade is also on the increase. China is the biggest export country, when the export trades triggered the growth of the national economy, it also brought a lot of embodied carbon emissions. So it has very important practical and theoretical significance to research the embodied carbon emission arising from the export trade.This paper selects eighteen major export industries. Using the extended input-output model, to estimate the embodied carbon emission of each industry arising from the export trade in 1997、2002、2005、2007. And then according to the results of analysis, to identify the structural characteristics and industrial distribution of embodied carbon export. After the calculation and analysis on the embodied carbon export, we referenced the study of foreign scholar about the effect model of export on environment, selecting nine major export sectors of embodied carbon export between 2005-2007,by decomposing the factor which affect the embodied carbon arising from export trade into three aspects including scale、structure and technology effect of export, and then analyzing these three aspects. The results shows that the main reason for the increasing of embodied carbon export is the expanding scale of export trade; The structure of China’s export is unreasonable, so the changes in the structure of export did not reduce but increase the export volume of embodied carbon emission; Technological progress to reduce embodied carbon emission arising from the export trade,but the contribution of the technological progress is too small to offset the rapid increase of embodied carbon emission resulting from the effects of scale.Finally, based on the results of analysis, the paper proposed a new strategic thinking about China’s export trade developing in the direction towards low -carbon,and it carried some relevant policies and proposals about how to make China’s export trade developing along the direction of low-carbon way from three aspects, that is national level、industry level and enterprise level.更多还原