【作者】 李康；

【导师】 王德强；

【作者基本信息】 大连海事大学 ， 航海科学与技术， 2011， 硕士

【摘要】 近年,国家对海上救助力量的投入不断加大,救助系统的整体实力与日俱增。但是我国应急救助指挥仍然保持着依靠人工分析、判断和制定救助决策的传统模式,不能满足对突发事件快速与科学地制定应急救助决策的要求。国外相关研究和系统开发具有较高的独立性和封闭性；国内相关研究相对较少,部分研究的科学性与可行性也有待商榷。本文以提高国家海上应急搜救的效率和成功率为目的,首先通过实地走访调研救助局现役救助船舶的各项参数,设计了救助船舶失速和航线风压差调研表格,并多次举办专家座谈进行问卷调研,完成了北海救助局现役主力救助船舶基本资料的收集；其次,在对模糊数学、风险理论、电子海图等专业知识进行了认真的学习与研究之后,在导师的指点下建立了救助船舶风险度评估模型,并创建航线风险度评估模式,同时提出基于电子海图的水文气象综合显示及救助船舶航线优选平台的功能需求,设计了基于此平台的航线风险评估流程；最后在电子海图平台和计算机技术的支持下实现了气象要素的综合显示、救助船舶和航线风险度的评估、救助船舶航线的优选与动态演示,为决策者优选救助船舶提供辅助参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 In recent years, our country has been making increasing efforts to salvage at sea, which makes the entire strength of the salvage system grow with each day passing by. However, the emergency relief command system still keeps the operating mode of manual analysis, judgment and salvage decision making, which can not meet the fast and scientific salvage decision-making requirements on emergencies. The related research and system development abroad are highly independent and encapsulated. There are only a few domestic studies, whose scientificity and feasibility are still debatable.This thesis aims to improve the efficiency of national emergency salvage at sea and its success rate. First, based on parameters from field study to the active salvage ships in Sea Rescue Bureaus, the investigation forms on salvage ship stalling and ship route leeway angle are set up. A series of symposia and questionnaires are carried out to the experts and information on the main active salvage ships in North China Sea Rescue Bureau is collected.Second, salvage ship’s risk degree evaluation model is set up after study on Fuzzy Mathematics, Risk Theory, electronic chart and other professional knowledge, as well as under the supervisor’s instruction. Besides, based on hydro meteorology comprehensive display of the electronic chart and the function requirements of optimized salvage ship route, the sea route risk assessment process is designed.Finally, under the support of electronic chart platform and computer technology, meteorological elements, reasonable assessment on salvage ship and sea route risk degree, as well as optimized salvage ship route selection are comprehensively displayed and dynamically demonstrated. It provides supplementary reference on selecting optimized salvage ship for decision makers.更多还原