【摘要】 新疆喀什地区是我国地震活动频繁的区域之一,且震级高,烈度大。应用三元、四元、五元可公度方法,对新疆近100年来6.5级以上的地震进行分析得到:未来10年内,喀什地区2013年前后发生≥6.5级地震的可能性很大。更多还原

【Abstract】 Kashi area of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region is one of China’s frequent seismicity regions,with high magnitude and large intensity.Based on the method of ternary,quaternary and quintuple commensurability,this paper analyses the earthquakes whose magnitude is more than 6.5 in nearly 100 years.The results shows that in the next 10 years,before and after the year 2013,an earthquake with magnitude equal to or more than 6.5 is more likely to happen.更多还原